NL100 unknown villain bluff frequencies on monotone flops?
Posted by Deactivated User
Posted by Deactivated User posted in Low Stakes
NL100 unknown villain bluff frequencies on monotone flops?
HJ: $104.20
CO: $96.27
BN: $252.59 (Hero)
SB: $108.94
HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $3, SB folds, BB calls $2
is this hand pretty standard?
i dont know much about the villains calling range pre, or the range with which he will overbet this flop.
preflop, im guessing its safe to put him on 22-JJ, broadway cards, Axs type hands?
on the flop, theres three combos of 98s he could have for two pairs, and the realistic suited connectors that could make him a flush are limited to 45, 56, 67, which is all of three combos as well.
does say .. A9ss play the hand this way? TT/JJ? a hand like KcQh?
vs a range of {JJ-88, 22, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, 98s}, 36% equity. this range has no bluffs in it at all.
vs a range of {JJ-88, 22, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, 98s, KcQh, KdQh, KhQc, KhQd, KhQs, KsQh}, i have 46% equity. thats not bad at all.
see, given that im cbetting this flop with near 100% frequency [and i feel like most people are] ... i always feel like its a great spot to bluff. in practice though, i feel like bluff-raising on such boards tends not to yield very positive results.
the alternative to 3-betting here would be to flat and fold blank turns, but im going to be blanking the turn most of the time, and id be surprised if the villain didnt fire the turn with a high frequency.
the way i played the hand definitely simplified things, but of course, that doesnt mean it was the best way to play the hand.
thoughts?
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