NL100 Two pair calldown vs lag reg

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NL100 Two pair calldown vs lag reg

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BB: Padrino M: $141.41
UTG: chaosdamage: $138.92
MP: DonQuijotest: $121.33
CO: BingoGrinder: $164.11
BN: Anom1c: $128.92 (Hero)
SB: DRsteelhammer: $100.00
Preflop ($1.50) Anom1c is BN with 6 A
2 folds, BingoGrinder raises to $2.50, Anom1c calls $2.50, 2 folds
Flop ($6.50) 6 T A
BingoGrinder bets $4.88, Anom1c calls $4.88
Turn ($16.26) 6 T A 8
BingoGrinder bets $12.20, Anom1c calls $12.20
Not sure if calling is better than raising here, he cbets about 60% flop & turn so I want to keep his bluffs in. Don't think a raising range is necessary because his strong value > my strong value hands.
River ($40.66) 6 T A 8 J
BingoGrinder bets $30.50, Anom1c calls $30.50
His sizing is a bit suspicious and I lose to all his two pair+, Not sure if he even value bets AK/AQ on this runout so I'm not sure if it's a call or a fold.
Final Pot BingoGrinder wins and shows three of a kind, Sixes.
Anom1c lost and shows two pairs, Aces and Sixes.
BingoGrinder wins $98.66
Rake is $3.00

Opinions?

He is 33/26 and opens CO 43% but my sample is small (350 hands).

8 Comments

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Disharmonist 9 years, 3 months ago

I think just calling on flop and turn is better as the hands that can continue and are worse rep a pretty narrow range, mainly AQ and AK, where as you dont wanna stack off here and run into a set. River is an ok call, but consider KQ and 79

sauloCosta10 9 years, 3 months ago

I think this runout is not the best to calldown. KQcc and 79s got there, and you lose to his value range.... I don't think villain value bets AK or AQ here, so I think foldling river > calling river

Will Winaton 9 years, 3 months ago

Agree with folding river against most guys. I'd need a read, or some info to call here.
Your blockers are nice, but still I don't think average regs will bluff enough on this runout for this to be a call.

StreetSpirit 9 years, 3 months ago

Anyone else think PF call is the worst option unless BB is a whale?

Anom1c 9 years, 3 months ago

nl.pokerstrategy.com
Equity Winst Split
CO 50.84% 48.77% 2.06% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
BU 49.16% 47.10% 2.06% { A6s }

+Position, nut potential

StreetSpirit 9 years, 3 months ago

Sure the raw equity looks nice on a simulator, but you have to consider the regs on SB and BB. It is the perfect spot to squeeze vs wide CO range + your capped range. Check your database how much are you making money with the Axs flats from the BTN?

stills 9 years, 3 months ago

I'd 3bet or fold tbh, as played check calling is fine, wouldn't hate a raise on the flop but think you can't stack off here

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