NL100 turn decision in 3bet pot
Posted by Gofa
Posted by
Gofa
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100 turn decision in 3bet pot
UTG: $45
LJ: $100.35
HJ: $100
CO: $143.51 (Hero)
BN: $151.82
SB: $71.32
BB: $135.01
LJ: $100.35
HJ: $100
CO: $143.51 (Hero)
BN: $151.82
SB: $71.32
BB: $135.01
Villain is a pretty normal reg over 600 hands (16/14/4). Dont have any special reads so far.
Preflop
($1.50)
(7 Players)
Hero was dealt
6
6
UTG folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $2.62, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $8, Hero calls $6.38
UTG folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $2.62, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $8, Hero calls $6.38
think there is nothing really to say here. We are 135BB deep effective and I can call for set value ip against a player with an I guess reasonable strong 3betting range. Range should be something like TT+,AQs+ and some few combos of SCs or small pockets
Flop
($18.50)
2
K
6
(2 Players)
BB bets $9.75,
Hero calls $9.75
Just one strong draw possible here. Think calling is best, especially since I dont have any rasing range here pretty much. Since I dont have more infos, I assume he is betting 100% of his range on that flop.
Turn
($38.00)
3
(2 Players)
BB bets $25,
Hero raises to $124.76,
BB folds
Now this is where it gets interessting for me. I dont see him having total air (just based on generel observations and tendencies of 2nd barrels). Furthermore, I would lower the chances of him having the top hands of his range, regarding he is leaving himself a more than potsize bet for the river with his turn betsizing. Some people dont pay attention to the pot growth with their bluffs.
I see him double barreling QQ+, AK, AhQh and a rare heart SC definetly, TT/JJ maybe. I am allmost 88% favorite against that range.
The obv advantage of calling is, that I can keep his range wide as possible and I will be able to get the money in on the river pretty easyly regarding the spr.
The obv disadvantage of calling is that he might realise equity on the river that he might have foldet out to a turn shove.
I am just thinking about hands like TT-QQ here and I would like to get some oppinions on what villain is likely to to (or what would you do in his spot). would you rather call a turn shove because Hero does have some semibluffs in his range or would you more c/c a blank river to catch those?
Do you see him folding AK,AA to a turn shove?
Additionally, any heart river might kill action sometimes. Do you see him barreling blank river with his busted draws?
Weighting all those things, I personally pref the call on the turn. What do you think?
I see him double barreling QQ+, AK, AhQh and a rare heart SC definetly, TT/JJ maybe. I am allmost 88% favorite against that range.
The obv advantage of calling is, that I can keep his range wide as possible and I will be able to get the money in on the river pretty easyly regarding the spr.
The obv disadvantage of calling is that he might realise equity on the river that he might have foldet out to a turn shove.
I am just thinking about hands like TT-QQ here and I would like to get some oppinions on what villain is likely to to (or what would you do in his spot). would you rather call a turn shove because Hero does have some semibluffs in his range or would you more c/c a blank river to catch those?
Do you see him folding AK,AA to a turn shove?
Additionally, any heart river might kill action sometimes. Do you see him barreling blank river with his busted draws?
Weighting all those things, I personally pref the call on the turn. What do you think?
Final Pot
Hero
wins $84
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