NL100 TP2K in 4-Bet Pot
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100 TP2K in 4-Bet Pot
BN: $195.76
SB: $192.77
BB: $123.52 (Hero)
UTG: $100
HJ: $101.93
CO: $100.96
SB: $192.77
BB: $123.52 (Hero)
UTG: $100
HJ: $101.93
CO: $100.96
Villain is 23/19 over 167 hands with a F3B of 38%, 4-bet range of 10.1%.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $2.45, SB folds, Hero raises to $7.85, BN raises to $18.25, Hero calls $10.40
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $2.45, SB folds, Hero raises to $7.85, BN raises to $18.25, Hero calls $10.40
I think villain could be 4-betting JJ-AA/AQ and also some bluffs with blockers like Axs, Kxs.
Flop
($40.45)
7
9
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $16.85,
Hero calls $16.85
I decide to check/call to let him take a stab with his bluffs. I don't think he would 3-bet 77/99 so those sets aren't really in his range, but they could be in mine since we're a bit over 120BB deep.
Turn
($74.15)
7
9
K
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN checks
I don't expect villain to check this turn with AA/KK/AK since giving a free card is really dangerous. This isn't a turn card I'm likely to fold on so it makes sense for him to check. Especially if he picked up some SDV or outs he can river me with.
Would donking make sense here in this case, since my hand is quite vulnerable to a free card?
Would donking make sense here in this case, since my hand is quite vulnerable to a free card?
River
($74.15)
7
9
K
6
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BN bets $40.75
Really gross card but when you think about villain's range, I don't think he has any set on this board other than the one KK which bets turn. 55-TT don't make sense either. So if he has a 5 or a T it's from one of his bluffing hands like A5s/ATs which there are only 8 combos of.
This is a really scary looking card especially if I have JJ/QQ/KQ and it's possible he's thinking he can get me to fold with a hand that bricked and was bluffing like AQ/AJ/A2-A4s. I also don't think he would thin value bet AK/AA here (if for some reason he checked turn with them). That said, I would expect him to bet a bit bigger than $40/$74 in this case.
This is a really scary looking card especially if I have JJ/QQ/KQ and it's possible he's thinking he can get me to fold with a hand that bricked and was bluffing like AQ/AJ/A2-A4s. I also don't think he would thin value bet AK/AA here (if for some reason he checked turn with them). That said, I would expect him to bet a bit bigger than $40/$74 in this case.
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