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NL100: Set on scary board

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100: Set on scary board

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (5 Players) SB: $104.89 (Hero)
BB: $100.00
UTG: $118.53
CO: $104.00
BN: $114.34
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is SB with 9 9
UTG folds, CO raises to $2.70, BN folds, Hero raises to $9.50, BB folds, CO calls $6.80
He opens 28, I 3bet something around 11-13%.He folds IP around 40%.

Flop ($20.00) A J 8
Hero checks, CO checks
I think this board hit pretty well both ranges. I think I should not cbet it really aggressively. I don't think I can also bet small on this texture and ranges.
So I decided to x/c. This is probably the bottom of my x/c range.
Do you x/f it?
Turn ($20.00) A J 8 7
Hero bets $11.72, CO calls $11.72
He calls stub turn 55. I don't know his raising.
Here I decided to stub and bet even river on every river a part when pairs 8 and 77 cause I think I don't have eough SDV and he has a lot of hands that I beat that can float turn+river.
Do you x/f-x/c or bet it?
River ($43.44) A J 8 7 9
Hero checks, CO bets $26.85, Hero folds
I don't know how aggressive he is on rivers like this one. I folded cause I think the field are not bluffing enough.
What hands should he has to bluff to let me be able to call?
Thanks a lot

Do you call or fold on the river?

5 Comments

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Disharmonist 9 years, 7 months ago

I dont know following a) what do you try to rep here? B) Why you intend to bluff catch OTF but when you see a free turn, you turn your hand into a bluff,

I think betting flop is fine, turning the hand basically into a bluff but at the same time take down the pot right here often enough instead of puttign yourself in awkward spots later on. As played, try to check it down, fold to bet.

Federico Mazzini 9 years, 7 months ago

I thought turning 99 into a bluff would have more EV than trying to x it down. I don't think I can get exploited if I turn a hand like this into a bluff. I have a linear range, for that reason I don't know how many worst hands I have.
What about repping I have some % of TP,2ndpair, pair+draw.
On the river I would have some flushes,Tx, AA,JJ played in that way.

Disharmonist 9 years, 7 months ago

I prefer just leading OTF, checking flop caps our range and villain can outbluff us as we have a hard time calling down with 3rd pair and villain can hit his bd draws or overcards which fold against a small c-bet

Limp Limpson 9 years, 7 months ago

flop is a xf for me. Betting is better than xC imo. xC really gets us in retarded spots later on in a hand, no turn is good for us and even his bluffs have a lot of equity. At the same time, we presumably never flat pre and have a lot of gutshots to cbet with, which means we prob cant cbet air (99 is air all things considered here, its just really hard to win with our equity and we dont have relevant blockers).

as played I see no reason to bet turn. I'd just hope to check it down vs 8x/his giveups. We dont get value and we're trying to bluff him off very specific parts of his range in a spot where its just too easy to have a decent xb, call, call range with weak Ax combos.

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