NL100 set on awkward runout

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NL100 set on awkward runout

http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2792911

MP is a standard reg, BTN is fish.

12 Comments

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StreetSpirit 9 years, 5 months ago

It's kinda gross, but I'm check-folding river. I don't think you will get herocalled/bluffed by worse, and villain has all the bigger sets and suited Tx broadways and maybe AT.

qwertz 9 years, 5 months ago

Well flop thinking is Villan will not bluff as wide 3way with the fish and I just want to get value from the fish.

What about betting small on the river?

StreetSpirit 9 years, 5 months ago

I think there's arguments for betting your entire range small OTR. Personally, I'm not a fan of small river bets as I tend to get confused and level myself when raised.

StreetSpirit 9 years, 5 months ago

This might actually be a good spot to bet ~$20ish and maybe get crying calls from AQ AK? The problem is though: Do we ever have bluffs here?

Knoxox 9 years, 5 months ago

I would x/c flop & turn. As played I would probably bet small ~20 and fold to a raise.

Knoxox 9 years, 5 months ago

First of all I don't really know what our range is because I don't have a donking range on this flop.
But If I would have a balanced range here I think that we could bet our entire range small with 22 being the weakest hand for value. I don't really expect him to have a hand in between 22 and a straight so all those hands are the same to me and it doesn't really make sense to have two betsizes imo.
If he jams I would probably call all my Tx and fold the rest.

Limp Limpson 9 years, 5 months ago

Preflop is a check, but thinking about donking range in similar spots is great and its not a huge mistake imo.
Fwiw iirc baluga in his book argued that we should develop a donking range whenever the rec acts before the second reg, and always check when the pfr (reg) acts before the rec. Im not totally convinced.

river is a xf in my book, but I'd be damn sure to check all my Tx combos too (you should have some...sure, its mostly TdXd combos, but still). I just dont see any value. If anything, I'd consider bombing to fold out better sets (both of you have very few Tx, but you should have a couple Tx more than the villain imo), but that just gets ridiculous.

sauloCosta10 9 years, 5 months ago

No reason to check river imo, villain never bluffs river on this runout, very rarely has any Tx and will definitely call a small bet will most of his 2p combos. I would bet small

CoffeeMood 9 years, 5 months ago

Not sure I like the flop donk. Checking river but other than that I don't think the river should affect your decisions very much.

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