NL100 River spot decision
Posted by Mike87
Posted by Mike87 posted in Low Stakes
NL100 River spot decision
BN: $109.09
SB: $112.28 (Hero)
BB: $147.32
UTG: $131.90
HJ: $76.99
CO: $111.54
SB: $112.28 (Hero)
BB: $147.32
UTG: $131.90
HJ: $76.99
CO: $111.54
Villain is most likely a fish, playing 48/30 over 20 hands and I don't have other info on him.
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
T
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB calls $1.50
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BB calls $1.50
Flop
($5.50)
A
T
2
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BB bets $4,
Hero calls $4
Turn
($13.50)
A
T
2
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
BB bets $11,
Hero calls $11
River
($35.50)
A
T
2
7
Q
(2 Players)
Thank you
Loading 5 Comments...
I doubt he´s ever folding an A to a x/r with all the potential draws busted and sets and even 2pairs are kinda unlikely on this wet board, so I´d definitely x/r.
Here´s our equity against a possible calling-range that even include all gutshots and a couple backdoor-flushes that hit:
de.pokerstrategy.com
Board: AsTs2h7hQh
Equity Win Tie
MP2 57.04% 57.04% 0.00% { QdTd }
MP3 42.96% 42.96% 0.00% { 77, 22, AQs-A2s, KJs, QhJh, KhTh, JhTh, Th9h, 9h8h, AJo-A2o, KJo }
As play c/c seems good.
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