NL100 overpair KK 3bet pot vs shove on paired baord river

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100 overpair KK 3bet pot vs shove on paired baord river

BN: $118.30
SB: $174.58 (Hero)
BB: $277.47
UTG: $37
HJ: $37.10
CO: $66.48
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K K
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO calls $1, BN calls $1, Hero raises to $6.50, BB folds, CO folds, BN calls $6
CO 51/10 62 hands
BTn 27/5/7% 3bet 360 hands, agression factors 22% 41% 39%, fold to CB 50%
hard to give CO a range lets say he calls 22% (he s 27/5) and 3bet top 5%
JJ-22,AJo-A9o,KJo-K9o,QJo-QTo,JTo,AJs-A2s,KJs-K7s,QJs-Q8s,JTs-J8s,T9s-T8s,98s-97s,87s-86s,76s,65s,54s
Flop ($16.00) 8 3 J (2 Players)
Hero bets $12, BN calls $12
he calls a lot so maybe bottom pair + , and draws
2c2h,2d2h,2s2h,2d2c,2s2c,2s2d,3d3h,3s3h,3s3d,4c4h,4d4h,4s4h,4d4c,4s4c,4s4d,5h4h,5c5h,5d5h,5s5h,5c4c,5d5c,5s5c,5d4d,5s5d,5s4s,6h5h,6c6h,6d6h,6s6h,6c5c,6d6c,6s6c,6d5d,6s6d,6s5s,7h6h,7c7h,7d7h,7s7h,7c6c,7d7c,7s7c,7d6d,7s7d,7s6s,8c6c,8c7c,8d8c,8s8c,8d6d,8d7d,8s8d,8s6s,8s7s,9h7h,9c9h,9d9h,9s9h,Kc9h,Kd9h,Ks9h,Ac9h,Ad9h,As9h,9c7c,9c8c,9d9c,9s9c,Kh9c,Kd9c,Ks9c,Ah9c,Ad9c,As9c,9d7d,9d8d,9s9d,Kh9d,Kc9d,Ks9d,Ah9d,Ac9d,As9d,9s7s,9s8s,Kh9s,Kc9s,Kd9s,Ah9s,Ac9s,Ad9s,Th9h,TcTh,TdTh,TsTh,JcTh,JsTh,QcTh,QdTh,QsTh,KcTh,KdTh,KsTh,AcTh,AdTh,AsTh,Tc8c,Tc9c,TdTc,TsTc,JhTc,JsTc,QhTc,QdTc,QsTc,KhTc,KdTc,KsTc,AhTc,AdTc,AsTc,Td8d,Td9d,TsTd,JhTd,JcTd,JsTd,QhTd,QcTd,QsTd,KhTd,KcTd,KsTd,AhTd,AcTd,AsTd,Ts8s,Ts9s,JhTs,JcTs,QhTs,QcTs,QdTs,KhTs,KcTs,KdTs,AhTs,AcTs,AdTs,Jh9h,JhTh,JcJh,JsJh,QcJh,QdJh,QsJh,KcJh,KdJh,KsJh,AcJh,AdJh,AsJh,Jc8c,Jc9c,JcTc,JsJc,QhJc,QdJc,QsJc,KhJc,KdJc,KsJc,AhJc,AdJc,AsJc,Js8s,Js9s,JsTs,QhJs,QcJs,QdJs,KhJs,KcJs,KdJs,AhJs,AcJs,AdJs,Qh9h,QhTh,QhJh,Qc8c,Qc9c,QcTc,QcJc,Qd8d,Qd9d,QdTd,Qs8s,Qs9s,QsTs,QsJs,Kh7h,Kh9h,KhTh,KhJh,Kc7c,Kc8c,Kc9c,KcTc,KcJc,Kd7d,Kd8d,Kd9d,KdTd,Ks7s,Ks8s,Ks9s,KsTs,KsJs,Ah2h,Ah3h,Ah4h,Ah5h,Ah6h,Ah7h,Ah9h,AhTh,AhJh,Ac2c,Ac4c,Ac5c,Ac6c,Ac7c,Ac8c,Ac9c,AcTc,AcJc,Ad2d,Ad3d,Ad4d,Ad5d,Ad6d,Ad7d,Ad8d,Ad9d,AdTd,As2s,As3s,As4s,As5s,As6s,As7s,As8s,As9s,AsTs,AsJs
Turn ($40.00) 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $30, Hero calls $30
he can now have trips and full and i think he can bluff vs my check so i prefer X/C than B/F
thought?
River ($100.00) 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $69.30
i m not sure he value worse than me here and dont see what he can bluff
i need to win 30%
Board: 8h 3c Jd 8c 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.529% 23.53% 00.00% 20 0.00 { JcJh, JcJs, JhJs, 8d8s, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AcJc, AhJh, AsJs, AcTc, Ac9c, Ad8d, As8s, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac2c, KcJc, KhJh, KsJs, KcTc, Kc9c, Kd8d, Ks8s, Kc7c, QcJc, QhJh, QsJs, QcTc, Qc9c, Qd8d, Qs8s, JcTc, JhTh, JsTs, Jc9c, Jh9h, Js9s, Js8s, T9s, Td8d, Ts8s, 9d8d, 9s8s, 9c7c, 8d7d, 8s7s, 8d6d, 8s6s, 7c6c, 6c5c, 5c4c, AcJh, AcJs, AdJc, AdJh, AdJs, AhJc, AhJs, AsJc, AsJh, KcJh, KcJs, KdJc, KdJh, KdJs, KhJc, KhJs, KsJc, KsJh, QcJh, QcJs, QdJc, QdJh, QdJs, QhJc, QhJs, QsJc, QsJh, JcTd, JcTh, JcTs, JhTc, JhTd, JhTs, JsTc, JsTd, JsTh }
Hand 1: 76.471% 76.47% 00.00% 65 0.00 { KdKs }

seems a fold

9 Comments

Loading 9 Comments...

vanity02 12 years, 2 months ago
As played I think we have to call river, since we are underrepping our hand. like you said if you x/c he can bluff or even bet thinking hes getting value with QQ Jx hands and if we don't call with KK here what are we calling with to protect our range. I prefer to b/f turn or b/b/b.
event78 12 years, 2 months ago
No reason to check turn without a read that he's aggro. His stats indicate that he's passive and calling so keep betting for value against his draws/Jx. It's way better to check AJ/KJ turn in this spot cause you block J and therefore he has more draws in his range.

As played without a read it's hard to fold river, you took this line cause there are a lot of draws in his range so don't fold when it bricks off.
Felipe Stanquevisch 12 years, 2 months ago
If I got the hand right your playing vs the 27/5 (BTN), not the 51/10 (CO). How many 3bets has he called? Not a lot of hands but would be nice to break it down by IP and OOP too.
Normally I wouldn't give in a BTN calling range for you 3bet pocket 3s or weak suited Aces unless I have a read that says he flats 3bets wide IP.
An 8 is a very small part of his range and so you should continue to fire on the turn.
The river blanks and, after you showed some weakness he decides to shove. It's a tough decision, but I think I would call.
Robert G 12 years, 2 months ago
I agree as played we have to call here because our hand is underrepped.

I think a bet bet jam line is optimal here, often times we let him off the hook easy when he checks behind 910 and all jacks in his range.

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy