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Nl100 Obvious 3 Barell bluff in 3BP?

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Nl100 Obvious 3 Barell bluff in 3BP?

BB: $33.78
UTG: $107.46
HJ: $198.08
CO: $111.69
BN: $94.50
SB: $174
Dealt [AdQh]
Opponent is 24/17 Tag Co open 26 F3bet 62%(3bet calling range 22-JJ 43s-T9s +broadway) wtsd 22 wwsf 47 IN 3bet pots Fold vs Cbet 36%33% 64%
To my point of view river Jack hits my range full of AJ a lot, if i 3 barell this dry board only my AQ and AK has missed .
So by the river i got 12 combos of TP 6 combos of set 18 overpairs out of 68 barelling combos =50% bluffs 50% value
Is it a lot 50% of bluffs and i just check-give up AQ or Ak combos or its okay game?
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, SB raises to $10, BB folds, CO calls $7
Flop ($21.50) 4 2 T (2 Players)
SB bets $12, CO calls $12
Turn ($45.50) 5 (2 Players)
SB bets $22.50, CO calls $22.50
River ($90.50) J (2 Players)
SB bets $67.50, CO calls $67.19
Final Pot
CO wins $221.38

5 Comments

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Getready2rokk 11 years, 6 months ago

J rvr is quite a bad card cause of TJs and JJ.
You still get him to fold T9s,ATs,KTs,QTs,99,88 tho so ye if you got clean image and you sure villain has those in his range. Think i dont mind the 3barrel, esp since he looks like the type you want to 3barrel allot vs, low wtsd high fold rvrcb. Obv got to c/f some of the time, cause you cant 3barrel off all the time here, youre range would be too weak.


TheLove_Below 11 years, 6 months ago

OP, i think AQo should be an easy fold OTR. 

GIven your Range composition OTR. 

WHat your range looks like OTR: Based on your reasonings, if your 3-barreling a hand like AJ, then your should also have all combos of AQ/AK in your 3-barreling hand range

1)AJ=12 combos TP   2) AK= 16 combos     3) AQ=16 combos

4) Sets=6 combos   5) Overpairs=18 combos

Value=36 combos   Bluffs=32 combos

Bet:$67.5   Pot:$90.5

Optimal Bluffing frequency: ($67.5)/($135+90.5)=29.9%

How many combos of Bluff should we have OTR=

(X)/(X+36)=.299

X=.299X+10.77

.701X=10.77

X=15 Combos we should be bluffing with OTR.  GIven AQo is the bottom of this threshold, I think its better to C/F it OTR.

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