NL100 HU good or bad fold?

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NL100 HU good or bad fold?

BB: $200.03 (Hero)
SB: $136.04
Preflop ($1.50) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt Q 4
SB raises to $2, Hero calls $1
Flop ($4.50) 8 4 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB bets $3, Hero calls $3
Turn ($10.50) 8 4 3 Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB bets $8, Hero raises to $22, SB calls $14
River ($54.50) 8 4 3 Q 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets $40, SB raises to $109.04, and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot
SB has 5 K SB wins $133.50


hi guys,

I am not sure if this fold is correct. My first thougth in game was "my range is so strong and he offers me good odds therefore he should not be bluffing here" --> fold. Now i think that he has not that many better valuehands either. i have almost always have a made hand on the turn (like Q4 Q8 Q3). i ch/rd a lot in this match, so he should expect me to ch/r all my FDs SDs GSs etc on the flop. Why sould he wait until the river with 88 to stack my twopair? there are so many rivercards on this board that scare me off. so i ecpect him to fastplay all oft his 88 QQ Q8 ... hands on the turn. the only hand i can see here that beats me is Q6 but i do not think that he shove this hand 100% of the time.


summury: bad bluffspot for villian but not many better hands in villians range however a lot of possible hands he can bluff with (XXdd XXdd JT are roughly 1126 combos) and nl100 regs are not the best and do weird things sometime --> call better than fold

Do you aggree with me?


Teddy



3 Comments

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Hova 11 years, 4 months ago

As played I think we definitely have to call. We are pretty much at the top or our range if villains assumes we x/r our sets on the flop, and if you do x/r sets on the flop that means you have no hands in your range that bet/call this river if you fold 2pair. His turn flatting range is also like you said very draw heavy. 

Considering so many draws can float us on the turn I actually think x/c'n this river is best. Its not like we have a tonne of bluffs by this point, maybe only JT/9T/J9/A2/A5 of diamonds so he shouldn't hero call us here very often. 

So on river I would say x/c > b/c > b/f.

Hova 11 years, 4 months ago

well, it obviously depends on villain. If he's fishy and will call with like 99 here ofcourse bet. If he's good and capable of folding Qx or AA then we should x/call

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