NL100 Flush 8 high vs X/Shove river 120 deep
Posted by thedoors
Posted by thedoors posted in Low Stakes
NL100 Flush 8 high vs X/Shove river 120 deep
BB: $229.95
HJ: $157.40
CO: $118.15 (Hero)
BN: $38
SB: $98.95
HJ: $157.40
CO: $118.15 (Hero)
BN: $38
SB: $98.95
i played him for years but only 100 hands last 3 month (made my hud to display only last 3months stats)
BB is an agro reg who play NL200 too, hes agro pre and post flop
his stats 24/22 6% 3bet, WTSD 26% over 100 hands
BB is an agro reg who play NL200 too, hes agro pre and post flop
his stats 24/22 6% 3bet, WTSD 26% over 100 hands
Preflop
($1.50)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
8
7
HJ folds, Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $2
HJ folds, Hero raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $2
seems a standard open
his "call open" statsd his 6% (do you agree its the good one to chose, i never know if i sould take this one or VPIP-PFR), he 3bets somethink like 6% in sb
I struggle to give him ranges because i have no read but he s a reg
it could be
3bet oop 6% AA-JJ,AKs-A9s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s
so calling range 6% TT-77,AQo-ATo,KQo-KJo
so he never has a flush river and its an easy call
but it could be
3bet oop 6% AA-JJ,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-AQs
so calling range 6% TT-55,AJs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s
so he has a lot of flush river
what do you think is the good range?
his "call open" statsd his 6% (do you agree its the good one to chose, i never know if i sould take this one or VPIP-PFR), he 3bets somethink like 6% in sb
I struggle to give him ranges because i have no read but he s a reg
it could be
3bet oop 6% AA-JJ,AKs-A9s,KQs-K9s,QJs-Q9s,JTs-J9s
so calling range 6% TT-77,AQo-ATo,KQo-KJo
so he never has a flush river and its an easy call
but it could be
3bet oop 6% AA-JJ,AKo-AJo,KQo,AKs-AQs
so calling range 6% TT-55,AJs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s
so he has a lot of flush river
what do you think is the good range?
Flop
($6.50)
3
A
2
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $4.50,
BB calls $4.50
seems a flop i would CB a lot and i m not afraid of calling vs a X/R given im ip and deep
he dos not seems to fold a lot so he can has paires from 55 to TT, Ax, flush draws , i dont seee many 2 pairs and sets
he dos not seems to fold a lot so he can has paires from 55 to TT, Ax, flush draws , i dont seee many 2 pairs and sets
Turn
($15.50)
Q
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $10,
BB calls $10
i think its a good barelling card to make him fold his flushdraws and pairs
River
($35.50)
9
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $28,
BB raises to $212.45
given a defensive point of view he shoves 100.65 in a pot of 63.5, so i need to call 38.7% of my range river to be inexploitable
so it seems i have to call a flush, BUT if he only do it with flushes he does not exploit me and i can fold
as you see i m totally lost even if i try to do math to go deep, i really dont see any bluff so i think i have to fold
thanks for your opinions
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