NL100 combodraw IP vs X/R + 2 barrels

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NL100 combodraw IP vs X/R + 2 barrels

BB: $100
UTG: $92.55
HJ: $49.15
CO: $341.95 (Hero)
BN: $98.50
SB: $65.35
UTG 37/19, only 90 hands, seems agro post
SB 44/14 38 hands
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T Q
UTG raises to $3, HJ folds, Hero calls $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $2
i think it s a good hand to flat ip, i want to play vs sb
btn and BB are regs but they dont 3bet or squeez a lot (3% and 5% squeez)
Flop ($9.50) 8 5 J (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $6.50, BB folds, UTG raises to $17.75, Hero calls $11.25
Vs 2 player a miss CB often means give up
BB does not X/R flop (0% 600 hands) so he he s weak and surely also gives up
i think i will bet and they will fold very ofteb but he X/R
vs his nut range i m doing very well
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.803% 45.76% 00.05% 13590 13.50 { QsTs }
Hand 1: 54.197% 54.15% 00.05% 16083 13.50 { JJ+, 88-77, 55 }
i m not sure how i do against his draws, if he only X/R nutflush draw im not so bad
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.428% 43.39% 00.03% 16754 13.50 { QsTs }
Hand 1: 56.572% 56.54% 00.03% 21829 13.50 { JJ+, 88-77, 55, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, Ac3c, As3s, As2s }
il he X/R with draws smaller im really well
so i prefer call and play position (i will allways stakc off when i hit turn), and i think i can steal whil betting turn and river on bricks if he checks turn
Turn ($45.00) 3 (2 Players)
UTG bets $33.75, Hero calls $33.75
he barrels the brick, so i put him on value
he gives me 3% odds and vs 55 77-88 JJ+ i got 45% so i have to call
problem is i dont think i can bluff river vs a check because he will only have 40bb remains in a 112bb pot, and if he has only the value range im onlu flipping since he wont fold vs a shove turn
if i call i can let him hit his worse draw and stakc off
River ($112.50) 6 (2 Players)
UTG bets $38.05, Hero folds
draws dont get in (or 97ss) but he push
i think he has the value range 55 77-88 JJ+ but layeb i played too passively and i should have raise somewhee to avoid being bluffes by worse draws

thanks for your opinion
Final Pot
UTG wins $38.05 , UTG wins $109.50

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