NL100 bluffcatch river? with converter

Posted by

Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100 bluffcatch river? with converter

BN: 146.10
SB: 110.79
BB: 102.21 (Hero)
UTG: 18.21
HJ: 73.60
CO: 103.85
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt T A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to 3.50, SB folds, Hero raises to 11, BN calls 7.50
Flop (23.50) T 6 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets 13, BN calls 13
Turn (49.50) T 6 8 J (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets 23, Hero calls 23
River (95.50) T 6 8 J 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets 99.10, and is all in, Hero calls 55.21, and is all in

what do u think about this bluffcatch?

i made a little tree on CEV and seems like that is little bit profittable!

villain 10k hands

AF 40/30/30

call 3bet 31

fold to cbet 3bet pot ip 36   

wtsd35

w$sd 48

wwsf 48

5 Comments

Loading 5 Comments...

Freakymo91 10 years, 11 months ago

this call is way 2 thin this flop is all over villains range there are so many hands that beat u u only beat a complete bluff and without a pretty strong read i think we cant call here do not belive we are right here 33% of the time. even if u catched him there i think in the longrun this is a -ev call.

CombatCarl 10 years, 11 months ago

When the river pairs, it's actually a pretty bad spot to try a bluff so without a very strong read that he CAN fire that river which is rare at SSNL then I'm folding this river. I hope you won though. 

FLASP 10 years, 11 months ago

I think these kinda spots are very feel dependent which only you can know because you have the best read on him over those sample of hands.

With said I fold the river. I don't see him having many floats without equity or pure bluff on the river. I don't think many players bet the turn with 99's, Aq, 77's, KQ for instance. His range is very polarized to airball to nutty hands, where I think he have nutty hands very large amount of the time.


His W$sd is as it should be. One interesting thing to notice is his wtsd35 which is way to high.. And when you combine these two stats it means that he is the type of player who is a calling station and obviously loses some percentages of the times which should make his W$sd less than 45. Since it's not less than 45, it leads me to believe he doesn't bet showdown valueish hands.


Adonis 10 years, 11 months ago

i dont really see what hands he would end up on river with here that would be total air other than kq or Aq and is he the type of villian to float the flop with only overs in a 3 bet pot? looks like he is value towning us

Be the first to add a comment

Runitonce.com uses cookies to give you the best experience. Learn more about our Cookie Policy