NL100 bluff with A high river
Posted by thedoors
Posted by
thedoors
posted in
Low Stakes
NL100 bluff with A high river
BB: $129.58
UTG: $137.10
HJ: $111.70 (Hero)
CO: $100
BN: $149.60
SB: $51.55
UTG: $137.10
HJ: $111.70 (Hero)
CO: $100
BN: $149.60
SB: $51.55
BTN 85/14 83 hands.
UTG 900 hands 29/21/ 9% 3bet, 29% fold to 3bet, 4bet range 1% flopCB 84%, turn CB 52% , Check raise flop 8%, fold to CB flop 48% flod to CB turn 36% agression factors by strett 38% 32% 14%
UTG 900 hands 29/21/ 9% 3bet, 29% fold to 3bet, 4bet range 1% flopCB 84%, turn CB 52% , Check raise flop 8%, fold to CB flop 48% flod to CB turn 36% agression factors by strett 38% 32% 14%
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
K
UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, CO calls $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
UTG raises to $3, Hero calls $3, CO calls $3, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
utg opens a lot, calls to 3bet a lot and dont 4bet so it would be a good spot to 3bet
but i think he will give me credit to 3bet vs him utg and be less inclined to stakc of with TP (and AKo value com from TPTK i believe)
+ Btn is a bad player
so i prefer to call to play vs btn , to me call > 3bet
opinions?
but i think he will give me credit to 3bet vs him utg and be less inclined to stakc of with TP (and AKo value com from TPTK i believe)
+ Btn is a bad player
so i prefer to call to play vs btn , to me call > 3bet
opinions?
Flop
($10.50)
2
T
9
(3 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $7.87,
CO folds,
UTG calls $7.87
he CB 84% do when he does not CB on such a drawy board against 2 players he has air
so i bet to protect my hands (btn VPIP is 84% so very often i beat him too)
im suprised that UTG X/calls so i put him on a wek hand
so i bet to protect my hands (btn VPIP is 84% so very often i beat him too)
im suprised that UTG X/calls so i put him on a wek hand
Turn
($26.24)
3
(2 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero checks
even if i think its a brick and he s weak i think he s sticky so i prefer check to bluff river when he checks again
i was litlle afraif of beeing x/Raised turn (12%/ on 17 times for him)
but i believe its an error and i should 2 barrel to reprensent 22 99 TT JTs QTs KTs ATs JJ QQ and 3 barrels all flush cards
i was litlle afraif of beeing x/Raised turn (12%/ on 17 times for him)
but i believe its an error and i should 2 barrel to reprensent 22 99 TT JTs QTs KTs ATs JJ QQ and 3 barrels all flush cards
River
($26.24)
6
(2 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $18
i think i really got a good idea oh his range whic is certainly 3rd paire or 2nd pairs so i bet to bluff him, and i believe i represent very well a heart fludh draw which did not 2 barrel the brick but value river
thanks for your opinion
thanks for your opinion
Loading 5 Comments...
Hmm preflop is close I think, not too sure about this one.
I think 3betting here MPvUTG in a vacuum is best by far given how much he flats etc. (just imagine what happens when he flats AQo and the flop comes Axx... or he flats KQs and the flop comes Kxx) etc.
However with the whale OTB it does change a bit, if UTG had been a player I normally flat AKo MPvUTG vs. then I would flat with a whale OTB too.
However if UTG is "bad" enough to 3b in the first place, I think 3betting is gonna be higher EV overall, the whale will overcall a decent amount anyway.
Postflop:
I suppose flop cbet is fine as long as CO doesn't play back a lot.
I think when UTG c/c OTF, he has a lot of Tx hands (mostly weaker ones I believe but there will be combos of AT and of slowplays like AA too.) Not sure if you think he is bad enough to c/c like 88 here?
So yeah OTT you have the option of 3barreling or giving up pretty much, given that you flatted MPvUTG and bet when he checked you do have quite a lot of air and not a lot of madehands except Txs combos, sets and (JJ)&(QQ) (few combos) that you did flat pre (however its hard for me to know how you think he perceives preflop range).
He is blocking Tx himself so I doubt you will get any folds OTT and maybe not on the river either (depending on card). He might only think that you have 7combos of sets that 3barrels here for value.
I would not expect to get c/r OTT at all (even if it should happen its with such a low frequency that you don't really care and you can just muck, what you care about is the EV of 3barreling in total). Also, the c/r turn stat is irrelevant anyway, first of all given sample but also because its such a generalized stat and this situation is quite specific.
I probably just give up OTT, if I would decide to continue, I would bet turn, jam river given that his is capped to Tx and therefore he is bluffcatching with his entire range vs your 3barreling range.
On broadway rivers I might not jam given that they heavily improves the amount of valuecombos in your range and therefore also decreases the amount of bluffcombos. (Random thought).
If it wasn't clear I think he is gonna snap the river pretty much with Tx. It looks FOS given that any better madehand in your range bets turn, lets say hypothetically that this isn't the case for your range, it doesn't change anything because your bet OTR will still very likely be perceived as "unbalanced".
-igotya
i should B B B or B F
he snpaped with 9x
I think when he ch/c flop his range consists of weakish Tx, 9x, 88. In spots like these I tend to follow through on turns to set up river shoves on the flush card. In villain's spot, say he has 88 or JT, and decided to ch/c flop. When you bet the turn to set up a river shove, it puts a lot of pressure on him.
As played I'd just give up on river most of the time or overbet pot.
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