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NL100 3bet pot , do wa hero call 3e pair river full and flush possible?

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NL100 3bet pot , do wa hero call 3e pair river full and flush possible?

BN: 146.10
SB: 64.70
BB: 99.85
HJ: 157.25
CO: 100.70
CO 58/16 108 hands
Btn reg 19/16 7% 3bet 49%fold to 3bet 49% fold to CBflop agression factors by street 57% 21% 24% 2,1k hands
notes
do not Defend
AGRO 3 barr bottom pair when he s utg
2 barrels non scary turn
4bet ligh ip when i squeez withour history
CB Toom uch? 83%
INSTA CALL = stong
BET 1/2= nut full
Preflop (1.50) (5 Players)
HJ folds, CO calls 1, BN raises to 4, SB folds, BB raises to 12, CO folds, BN calls 8
he isolate wide, i 3bet big expecting to isolate the fish (i dont tjhink my betsize change anything for co), i dislike playing 3 wayu pot with JJ oop
he calls so much, he surely has lot of broadway suited and pairs (i dont know how i can caluclate that given the fact he fold only 49%).
lets say he steals btn 31%, he isolate the same so he calls 49% of 31% so his calling range is something like 15%
so somethin like that QQ-66,AQs-A6s,K8s+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo, i m 67% favorite vs him
Flop (26.50) 9 8 A (2 Players)
BB bets 13, BN calls 13
i missread my huf (new one) thougt he folds to CB 49% but in fact he folds 57%...
so i thought he would call with so many draws and flaots that i have to cb for value
i am only favortie 53% now on this board...
Turn (52.50) 9 (2 Players)
BB checks, BN bets 26, BB calls 26
turn is a brick i dont think he has a lot of 9 but i think he has so much equity that it is a bet fold (for the moment i dont have a combonator registered version to know how is exactly his range)
i dont know how to play river if i X/call and draws get in river (and he has so many draw)
his bet is weak, on such a drawy baord so i tthink i am ahead
River (104.50) Q (2 Players)
BB checks, BN bets 95.10
ok flush get in but he does not have a 9, and ace would'n bet here i believe so he only represents a backdoor flush draw
i m a bout to call, what do you think?
thanks

6 Comments

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zeross 12 years, 3 months ago
Why a ace wouldn't bet river ?

I don't know what your hand is?
But if it's not Ax, I would not barrel the turn because that's a awfull barrel hand nothing will fold turn what called the flop. And if you barrel this turn you must defintly barrel this river for repping Ax + flushes.

I would say check-fold turn.
james 12 years, 3 months ago
Easyish fold on the river. As long as you play some of your Ax this way Jacks is going to be one of the weakest hands that you can have on the river. Also, I'd 3 bet slightly bigger given that you're out of position and the fact that he calls a lot of 3 bets.
thedoors 12 years, 3 months ago
mmm what do you think is is value range here?
what will be you sizing? if i do bigger he can read me + he wont be able to 4bet bluff (even if he seems to like to call a lot more than 4bet a lot)
thanks

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