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NL100 3B pot vs. UTG

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100 3B pot vs. UTG

BN: $120.02 (Hero)
SB: $119.63
BB: $77.86
UTG: $105.07
HJ: $102
CO: $67.39
UTG is 33/31 over a small sample with a high open % UTG and fold to 3-bet of 100% so far (only 40 hands).
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A 3
UTG raises to $3, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $9, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $6
I think 3-betting A3s here will be immediately profitable pre-flop and is an easy fold if I get 4-bet. If he flats then I have position and a very playable hand.

When villain flats I expect him to be set mining with mid PP's quite often, or big suited broadway hand like AJ-AQs/KQs.
Flop ($19.50) 5 9 6 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
I think this flop hits villain's flatting range better than it hits mine. He can have lots of sets and pair+draws in his range. Plus he is never folding 88+ to 1 barrel here.

I decide to check back hoping to turn an A or clubs.
Turn ($19.50) 5 9 6 9 (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn is where I'm not sure if I should bet or not. My line doesn't really make sense for overpairs since I bet all of those on the flop. If I bet turn and he calls I will probably have to bet a lot of rivers unimproved.

On the other hand, it would suck to check and let a hand like 44 have a chance at showdown.
River ($19.50) 5 9 6 9 K (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $13, UTG folds
Obviously a great river card but now really hard to get value from most of his range. Not sure what bet sizing to use so I just bet a standard 2/3 pot.

I think from a GTO pov it's possible for me to bet a lot of my Axs bluffs on this river since it's so hard for him to call.

Thoughts?
Final Pot
Hero wins $18.62

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