NL10 Zoom, Overbet turn

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NL10 Zoom, Overbet turn

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $15.96
SB: $15.81
BB: $10.00 (Hero)
UTG: $18.75
MP: $30.73
CO: $13.50
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BB with 9 K
3 folds, BN raises to $0.27, SB folds, Hero calls $0.17
Flop ($0.59) 7 7 9
Hero checks, BN bets $0.37, Hero calls $0.37
Turn ($1.33) 7 7 9 Q
Hero checks, BN bets $2.54, Hero calls $2.54
River ($6.41) 7 7 9 Q K
Hero checks, BN bets $4.04, Hero calls $4.04

Vilain on 23 hands:
VPIP 18.
PFR 18.
AF 6,0

not sure what to do on this turn ?

5 Comments

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Shaun Pauwels 4 years, 11 months ago

It depends on how you play your range on the flop.
First of all his cbet sizing is higher than is standard here. Which makes me think he’s either not great or isn’t betting his range here. If he was betting smaller size and range you could mix this hand in with a check/raise on the flop.
In theory villains turn overbet is to punish your capped range on the turn. But that only happens if you raise all or most 7x or better on the flop. In that case you just have to buckle down and call this hand. Else you just fold everything.

But the main question is, would a 10nl player have this knowledge and play this way? Very likely that he’s underbluffing. I would base this on his flop sizing which isn’t standard. So exploitative fold.

bluebull15 4 years, 11 months ago

In my experience overbets are very rarely bluffs in these limits.

Fact

really easy fold

Another fact.

I also level myself into calling these spots way to often. But at these stakes eliminating bluff catching almost entirely is probably the best way to get the graph moving upwards.The population as a whole is just hardly ever bluffing here. To be fair even 70% bet on the turn here is probably indicative of a hand that has us beat.

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