NL10 zoom have been losing money with overpairs, any argument for folding here?

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NL10 zoom have been losing money with overpairs, any argument for folding here?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $11.00
SB: $12.52
BB: $11.69
UTG: $11.82 (Hero)
MP: $17.20
CO: $9.45
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is UTG with A A
Hero raises to $0.25, 3 folds, SB calls $0.20, BB folds
Flop ($0.60) 7 6 J
SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB calls $0.50
Turn ($1.60) 7 6 J 9
SB checks, Hero bets $1.22, SB raises to $3.00, Hero raises to $11.07 and is all in, SB calls $8.07
River ($23.74) 7 6 J 9 4
Final Pot SB wins and shows three of a kind, Sixes.
UTG lost and shows a pair of Aces.
SB wins $22.67
Rake is $1.07

9 Comments

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ValueTown 9 years, 7 months ago

There are a couple of questions you can ask yourself here on the turn:

  1. By shoving do i get better hands to fold?
  2. By shoving do i get worse hands to call?
LuckyMer 9 years, 7 months ago

A few arguments:
* People tend to bluff too little.
* He has all 66-77-99 and sometimes JJ in his range. A lot of players tend to call 55-JJ, AQ,AK, some suited broadway from SB. Soooo he has a lot os sets in his range that goes to turn. And some AJ, KJ, QJ that gonna just call.

r1xTer 9 years, 7 months ago

Thanks guys, some good food for thought. Yes he has all the sets in his range but also two overpairs KK, QQ and AJ, which is unlikely holding two blockers, KJ, QJ plus straight und flush draws and maybe AK, AQ that people are willing to stack off with. With the information that these games are on the nittier site I like the b/f turn. Maybe I need to have him on a tighter range here.

Knoxox 9 years, 7 months ago

+1 to bet/folding turn. Classic balugatheorem spot. If you have one pair and someone raises your turnbet you should fold readless.

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