NL10 river decision
Posted by Ion
Posted by
Ion
posted in
Low Stakes
NL10 river decision
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
CO: $12.42
BN: $10.10
SB: $17.16
BB: $10.89
UTG: $12.50 (Hero)
MP: $12.04
BN: $10.10
SB: $17.16
BB: $10.89
UTG: $12.50 (Hero)
MP: $12.04
BN: 21/14 after 147 hands, no reads.
SB: 29/21. I have seen him check down second pairs multiple times. I feel like he's quite polarized when he bets.
SB: 29/21. I have seen him check down second pairs multiple times. I feel like he's quite polarized when he bets.
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
T
T
, , , ,
Flop
($1.00)
Q
7
K
, ,
Turn
($1.00)
Q
7
K
8
, ,
Given my feel for SB's game, I think that when he bets, he either has hands that have zero showdown value, 56s-JTs, 88. His small bet makes me think that 88 and 78 are unlikely.
I don't like the BN call, I think his range beats mine and I don't want to bluff the river against him. I think his range is something like 45s-78s, 89-JQ, 99-JJ, AJ, AQ.
I don't like the BN call, I think his range beats mine and I don't want to bluff the river against him. I think his range is something like 45s-78s, 89-JQ, 99-JJ, AJ, AQ.
River
($2.50)
Q
7
K
8
8
, , , ,
Given my "read" on SB, I feel like I can check behind and win the pot vs him.
When BTN bets, I put him on 78, 88, 9T, JT, 56. I think 88 is a bit unlikely because he'll sometimes raise the turn with 88.
When BTN bets, I put him on 78, 88, 9T, JT, 56. I think 88 is a bit unlikely because he'll sometimes raise the turn with 88.
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