NL10 Raise a small cbet against a Loose Fish or call with the odds and outs?
Posted by aizen
Posted by aizen posted in Low Stakes
NL10 Raise a small cbet against a Loose Fish or call with the odds and outs?
Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $2.70 (27 bb)
BB: $4 (40 bb)
UTG+2: $4.74 (47.4 bb)
MP1: $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $6 (60 bb)
MP3: $3.75 (37.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $10.76 (107.6 bb)
BTN: $4 (40 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A 4
UTG+2 calls $0.10, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 calls $0.10, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 3 folds, UTG+2 calls $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 folds
Flop: ($2.05) 9 K 8 (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $0.10, MP1 calls $0.10, Hero raises to $1.10, UTG+2 calls $1, MP1 calls $1
Turn: ($5.35) 2 (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $0.10, MP1 calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10
River: ($5.65) Q (3 players)
UTG+2 bets $2.94 and is all-in, MP1 raises to $8.20 and is all-in, Hero folds
UTG is 52/13 fish and MP is a regular 17/15 player.
Should I raise the flop cbet?
My thoughts here: if the fish is gonna call and the remaining flushcards appear OR an ace appears I have good chances to get his full stack, because he can't fold his hand.
I have arround 12 Outs which makes arround 48% equity. + Fold Equity (I think the tag is nearly folding everything except TP+ / OESD/ or a weaker FD) which all have great reversed implied odds against my hand.
The other play would just be to call with the odds I get a great price there and the fish is maybe never folding a gutshot, oesd, flushdraw, 8x, 9x, kx
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