NL10: overly aggressive with gutshot?

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NL10: overly aggressive with gutshot?

4-handed 10NL on Unibet. Co was aggressive and loose from LP

Hero is BB with A3o

Co opens 30c and it folds around to me in BB and I make it $1 as a bluff, Co calls.

Flop
pot ($2.05)
2s Qh 4h

Hero: bets 1.30
Co: calls

I felt this was a dry enough board to try push him off some under pairs, and random suited Broadway that don't have a queen. When he calls I feel he may have, 99-QQ, KQs,AQ+

Turn
pot ($4.65)
Qs

Hero: bets 2.90
Co: calls

*I liked the queen on the turn as it reduced his chances of having one so I bet again, plus I have my gutshot as insurance. I try to get the unders and some combos of AK to fold. Should I be giving up here? *

River
pot ($10.45)
5c
Hero: jams around $5

A pretty easy jam OTR considering I now make my hand and it looks very likely villain has a queen, I also only have half a pot bet.

I feel I over played this, should I be betting smaller on some streets and just giving up on others? thanks

7 Comments

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Knoxox 9 years, 7 months ago

I'm giving up on the turn. The 2nd queen also makes it less likely you have one and you're not getting people to fold any pair on this turn. River is an easy ship.

Nate Rotten Tomatoes 9 years, 7 months ago

i'm giving up OTT almost everytime. Agreed with knoxox; there's almost no FE when 2nd queen hits.
However if u chose to bet OTT, u shud bet big. Ur range is polarized here.
If i wanted to bet on turn, I'm bombing T/R with my values(trips)/bluffs.
By big, at least little bit less than pot ~ to full pot maybe.

Bod 9 years, 7 months ago

I had a feeling I should have gave up on turn, the whole play seemed a bit too much. I shoved and he had 22 for full house, so I had zero fold equity. I wouldn't put 22 or 44 in his range. I need to think more of my range in my opponents eyes.

Limp Limpson 9 years, 7 months ago

fold preflop, you cant defend this wide in games that are raked as heavily as nl10 imo. Plus offsuit weak Ax are obv really, really trashy.

The turn is prob the worst card in your range and you should be checking everything in theory imo, since you prob have only AQ and you need to protect KK+ combos. Exploitatively you can prob get away with vbetting overpairs though, given the fact that villain appears to be unknown/stakes.

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