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NL10 JJ vs. high 3bet unkreg

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL10 JJ vs. high 3bet unkreg

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BB: $29.32
UTG: $10.06
MP: $25.18
CO: $10.79
BN: $11.00
SB: $14.73 (Hero)
So CO is unk with regulars stats, nothing special

BTN is a 23/22 3bet:15 after 330 hands. I dont have any history with him, we doesnt ever share bigger pots and we also didnt have any dynamics preflop.
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with J J
2 folds, CO raises to $0.35, BN raises to $1.20, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, CO folds, BN calls $1.60
I think call may be an option. My cold4bet here looks very heavy and BTN could think that im on very top of my range. On the other hand, he's 3betting over 15% of his hands for god sake, he's doesnt look like balanced regular player so i think he's shipping/calling range may be a bit lighter here.
Flop ($6.05) 4 7 2
Hero bets $2.75, BN calls $2.75
Great flop, only QQ is better, i think he propably gonna stack off 90% of his KK/AA preflop and i dont think he have all of his QQ combinations either.

Small sizing coz i dont see many hands in his range that could call bigger bet.
Turn ($11.55) 4 7 2 Q
Hero checks, BN checks
Its check/call by my side. The reason why: i dont think he's gonna have very much of Qx assuming its 4bet pot and he also called my flop bet.

Ofc its still possible but i dont think i can fold vs. his ship with ~20% odds.
River ($11.55) 4 7 2 Q 6
Hero bets $2.55, BN raises to $5.45 and is all in, Hero calls $2.90
After his check im valuebetting his AK (??) and TT. After his raise i dont have any space to fold.

13 Comments

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JoINrbs 10 years, 3 months ago

Just go all-in on the turn, there is no room to fold your hand and there are a ton of worse hands which have to call you. You should probably just jam the flop too.

screamdustry 10 years, 3 months ago

I can see why jamming turn is profitable and a lot easier play, but jamming flop?

If by 'jam' u mean just AI flop i dont think its better play than betting for half a pot vs. his preflop range. Still too big stack to pot ratio on flop.

JoINrbs 10 years, 3 months ago

Jamming turn isn't anything to do with easy, it is a much better play than checking. I think flop is close and probably it's meant to be similar EV between betting small and jamming, I think our small bets are meant to be more like 1/3p probably though.

screamdustry 10 years, 3 months ago

Oki, can u give me explanation (with some ranges) why do think there is similar EV between jamming flop and small bet? I still dont understand it.

DiamondClub 10 years, 3 months ago

Just because someone is 3betting light, doesn't also mean they stack off lightly. And your sample size is kind of small. It's something that you actually see fairly often, people 3betting way more than they should based on their defence frequencies (F4B>70).

Koala 10 years, 3 months ago

I really don't like preflop 4bet sizing. If we made it 3.75 and get called, it's very easy shove OTF.
With 2x sizing, you are giving button too good a price to call with all of his marginal holdings.

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