Nl 50z - Full House vs River shove

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Nl 50z - Full House vs River shove

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $51.00
SB: $62.50
BB: $51.21
UTG: $53.06 (Hero)
MP: $37.25
CO: $42.99
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is UTG with T T
Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds
Flop ($3.50) Q A T
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50
Turn ($8.50) Q A T A
SB checks, Hero bets $5.50, SB calls $5.50
River ($19.50) Q A T A K
SB checks, Hero bets $12.50, SB raises to $53.00 and is all in, Hero folds

Villain is a reg but i just have 100 hands in him.
I don t see him bluffing here that s why i think river is an easy b/f.

What do you guys think?

9 Comments

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belrio42 5 years, 9 months ago

Line by Villain does look extremely nutted. But there's some chance that Villain is shoving something like AJ. Overall, I think folding is fine.

You say that bet/folding is better. Maybe it is. But couldn't you check/call river hoping for a value bet from Jx? You should be checking river sometimes and putting some full houses in your checking range is nice.

kiitmo 5 years, 9 months ago

I don't think river is an easy fold but probably a fold. You have lots of better hands to call, AA, AK, AT, AQ, QQ. So TT is pretty low down in your range after betting 3streets, maybe you'll also have Ad2d-9d that you can comfortably fold.

What bluffs do you have on that river? Maybe KQ w/ Kd, or QTs (if you open this from utg)? You likely don't have too many bluffs so when villain jams I don't really expect him to try and fold you off an ace when the board runs out so amazing for UTGs range. It's likely AQ-AK and maybe if he's really sick turning weak aces with the fd A5dd into a bluff. (Although that blocks a lot of your folding range)

Also why do you think he's a reg if you only have 100 hands? Him flatting an utg open from the sb is not very reggy

Mad_DOG_33 5 years, 9 months ago

Yearh, as weird as it is, with this board here we are at the bottom of our range and most people will not find a bluff here. we can call river with AQ, QQ and AA as well as AK . We have an insanely strong range here and villain should know that if he is a reg so it is a good trap spot on river for him with AT or AQ

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