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NL 50 xr+barel off vs weaker player

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL 50 xr+barel off vs weaker player

UTG: $19.69 (39 bb)
MP: $292.07 (584 bb)
CO: $50.25 (101 bb)
BU: $60.48 (121 bb)
SB (Hero): $57.80 (116 bb)
BB: $52.46 (105 bb)

Hello BB is weak reg 20/17/8,6 fold to 3b 70% who is not defending his passive lines at all (not used in this hand just to imagine how he is playing) BB fold to SB steal 32%, stab flop 70% over 20k hands

Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with 6♣ Q♣
4 players fold, Hero raises to $1.50, BB calls $1

Flop: ($3) 3♣ 5♦ 7♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.42, Hero raises to $5.11, BB calls $3.69

I would normally cb this hand but against this player i decided to xr given that he is defending wide against sb steal and stabbing almost everything i would be doing it in very high frequency with gs,bdfd and 2p+ that means i am going to overbluff this spot alot but i dont expect him to start exploiting me

Turn: ($13.22) 8♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $8.16, BB calls $8.16

We hit some bonus equity so i decided to bet turn and also alot of rivers because i dont expect him to fold alot on this turn except some random floats or gs he is still probably calling every pair,pair+draw,something like gs which hit also fd now etc

River: ($29.54) K♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $18.24

K looks like good card for me to bluff on he can see it as scarry card for his low paired hands, i expect him to raise alot of strong hands ott on this drawy board, what river cards would you bet on?

2 Comments

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Jeff_ 6 years, 6 months ago

Looks alright to me, I'll go bigger turn and shove river. Not overbetting turn, but ,maybe close to 11$, maybe can overbet too :)
Would bet any card except maybe some heart rivers, and Q or 6 river. Even though 6 river is not gives us any showdown equity I would show up with better bluff combos.

Samu Patronen 6 years, 6 months ago

I would bet either smaller or bigger on the river. The way I would guess this spot works in theory is that you have a subset of thin valuebets that benefit from blocking (hands like QQ/JJ) and then you have some nutted hands like sets that benefit from going bigger. 18 into 29 seems like a middle ground that doesn't really benefit any part of your range.

This comment is highly speculative, I might be off here. I'd love to hear opinions.

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