NL 50 AA 3bp 200bb deep on ugly board
Posted by Jarci
Posted by
Jarci
posted in
Low Stakes
NL 50 AA 3bp 200bb deep on ugly board
UTG: $107.30 (215 bb)
MP: $56.25 (113 bb)
CO: $50.50 (101 bb)
BU: $52.21 (104 bb)
SB (Hero): $106.76 (214 bb)
BB: $52.31 (105 bb)
Hello UTG looks like weaker reg 21/18/10.6 fold to 3b 61%, UTG open 14% 5k hands
Pre-Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with A♠ A♦
UTG raises to $1.15, 3 players fold, Hero 3-bets to $5.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $4.35
I dont have calling range from sb and by default iam 3betting in this position 88+,AJs+,KQs,sometimes AQo, and sc 87s-JTs but when iam deep iam swapping sc for Axs
Flop: ($11.50) J♠ 6♦ 8♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $3.60, UTG calls $3.60
Iam using this sizing for range cb but now when iam looking at this board iam i should bet bigger and not with whole range probably some autopilot mistake because of lot of action on other tables
Turn: ($18.70) Q♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $13.32, UTG calls $13.32
Not a best card he could hit T9s which i dont have in range that deep but he doesnt know that also QQ hit trips but i can still get value from AJs AQs KQs which he may float otf,KK maybe TT, and some fds
River: ($45.34) K♥ (2 players)
Hero checks
This is very bad R every big PP have trips KQs hit 2pair and i was ready to xf my hand with Ad, What would you do with A without diamond that deep bet? Am i wrong somewhere in this hand? Thank you
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It feels to me like there is very little diffrence in this spot between diamond and non-diamond Aces, as played looks like XF for both of these.
You can already make really strong argument for checking turn, and i think i would go for that option. On a K turn, i think you can bet more, but Q is especially ugly as it connects QQ and T9 and it really limits your ability to go for 3streets for value.
Hey,
I agree with your flop analysis, we should probably not go for the range small cbet here with these ranges. Turn looks good, our opponent will also have AQo which is pretty big, checking sometimes but favoring bet. River just depends on his sizing, the Ad definitely blocks a whole lot of his bluffs here, so if he makes it large enough we have to fold/turn this into a bluff. Without the Ad we are calling any bet that is within pot or so. I think in general your thought process and analysis is very good.
Cheers.
Do you favor bet OTT under assumption that population will raise way more 88/JJ/66 and then T9s through flop/turn compared to solver, and that makes it fine to go into 3barrels at blanks? Because GTO-wise, its obviously a spot where IP is now in quite a great position, its likely the best card for him, and he can be extremaly agressive here, and not a lot we can as OOP (expect protecting ourselves by checking a lot).
Also, good catch on a diffrence between Ad and As, its definetely a case on that stack-depth (which i missed).
Not holding diamond, bluffcatching now seems way better as he can have all baby AXdd, but i still dont think its still brilliant spot, given that he needs to bluff most of these combos for us to be ok. And im not sure if i would trust 21/18 NL50 'weaker reg' to just be agressive enough in this spot, where OOP range after cbetting turn, looks quite strong and protected.
Hey screamdustry
Basically betting the turn to extract a bet from Jx region, Qx region as well as TT-99 , 98s type stuff which will catch up or not pay us off on many different rivers, additionally we want to increase the pot size vs his AQ, KQ, AJ, KJ hands so we can stack them on blank rivers. His raising frequency with JJ,88,66 vs our bet size on this flop should be very high as well. I don't agree with you with regards to how aggressive IP can be on the Q. It's certainly a good card for him, however hands which improved to now beat our strong value bets should really only consist of T9s, QJs and reduced QQ combos, which keeping in mind his calling range vs the small flop sizing on this board is probably not significant enough improvement to force us to start checking very wide.
Cheers.
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