NL 2z SQZ pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL 2z SQZ pot

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (6 Players) BN: $2.00
SB: $2.36 (Hero)
BB: $2.13
UTG: $2.19
MP: $2.23
CO: $2.00
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is SB with K K
UTG raises to $0.05, MP calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.26, BB folds, UTG calls $0.21, MP folds
Flop ($0.59) 3 T 9
Hero bets $0.43, UTG calls $0.43
Turn ($1.45) 3 T 9 Q
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70
River ($2.85) 3 T 9 Q 2
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.80 and is all in, Hero calls $0.80

How should I have played this hand?
Preflop and flop are pretty normal.I guess I can check the flop with that combo, but on these limits I think it's just better to go for value. On the turn I decided to x/c and on the river I get too good of a price I guess. Ever folding? Should I have just barelled it myself?

4 Comments

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HawksWin 2 years, 7 months ago

He should have folded AQ on the flop. He is continuing AQdd here 100% and AQs at some frequency. Rest of the AQ should be gone from range but we all know its in there at a low frequency.

That turn is particularly bad due to QQ being in there more often than not. Suit sucks but we still have to continue vs 1/2 pot when we check. The turn also eliminates the best draw (can't have AQdd so there is very little Qx in his range).

So the Q hits some of his best draws KQ and QJ and he does have stuff like Axdd and this region of his range makes me want to bet this turn. I think he will want to check back stuff that has SD value and you still have QQ/KK/AA in your range.

This makes me think that his betting range is likely to be pretty strong.

I just can't see folding T or R here vs 1/2 pot and getting sick price on river.

pokernemo10 2 years, 7 months ago

Sometimes these types of hands seem like overplaying them since majority of Vs don't bluff too much. Maybe it would be better to bet the T myself. If so what sizing should I use? Maybe just bet shoving turn hoping to get called by worse. I sure he would sometimes have AJo there with a diamond. Very hard for his KQs and QJs, JJ. I have decent EQ vs his 2 pairs.

HawksWin 2 years, 7 months ago

Honestly, if you plugged this into a solver, I think it will just bet flop and jam turn with this combo. We run into it sometimes but we also deny equity to stuff like JJ or AdXx.

I mean, look at the SPR. I honestly don't think there will be much EV difference between most any lines with KdKx here.

nutsalltimes 2 years, 7 months ago

Even though you have good blockers to flushes and straights, I'd fold on these stakes. Very hard to find bluffs on this run out, especially for a tight UTG range and when he calls a big bet on the flop. Don't think you beat any value here either because I don't see AQ shoving river.

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