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NL 25 - Top Set vs Raise OTT

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL 25 - Top Set vs Raise OTT

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BB: $25.00
UTG: $25.00
MP: $61.14
CO: $40.33 (Hero)
BN: $37.83
SB: $23.06
UTG is a 37/16 fish that doesn't fold to 3bets.
BTN is a 64/28 doesn't like to fold vs 3bets (30%) and he cold called a 3bet 2/4 times.
I expect both player to have really wide ranges
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.75, MP folds, Hero raises to $2.50, BN calls $2.50, 2 folds, UTG calls $1.75
Flop ($7.85) 3 T Q
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.71, BN calls $3.71, UTG calls $3.71
I should bet bigger I know, probably and stack off any turn (probably?)
Turn ($18.98) 3 T Q J
UTG checks, Hero bets $8.97, BN raises to $27.75, UTG folds, Hero raises to $34.12 and is all in, BN calls $3.87 and is all in
BTN can have AK and K9 pretty easily. I don't expect him to overplay many hands especially in a MW pot, JJ is likely, JT is less likely. I don't think he could have 33 often, since he's raising 5/19 times OTF, and we are MW so I think he would be somewhat scared and raised the flop. I guess most of you are stacking off but how many times are you good here?
Obv If I sized up more on the flop, the turn would be easier to play and probably would yield higher EV due the inelastic flop calling ranges

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