NL 25 FAST - Barrel or not to barrel, that is the question

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NL 25 FAST - Barrel or not to barrel, that is the question

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $42.16
SB: $29.19
BB: $49.59 (Hero)
UTG: $27.08
MP: $16.58
CO: $24.13
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with A 4
4 folds, SB raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50
Flop ($4.50) Q T 9
SB checks, Hero bets $2.14, SB calls $2.14
Turn ($8.78) Q T 9 6
SB checks, Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50
River ($21.78) Q T 9 6 T
SB checks, Hero checks

HI
VILL REG 25/18/FT3B 40/400h sample

PRE:
Might call but decided to 3B.
FLOP:
This flop, honestly i am not sure who is in range favours here.
We have more sets because we 3B QQ,TT all the time, and 99 very often. He 4B QQ, sometimes TT, and rarely 99.
Straights + 2 pairs combos i guess these are quite even on both sides. Adding advantage in AA and KK in our range makes me want to say we are a bit ahead but still not sure about it.
Anyways decided to CB.
TURN:
87s hits this turn and he has more of them than we. But we have NFD and he just x/c flop which makes me want to barrel.
Not sure about sizing. Do we want to overbet here ? i guess not because of his 87s and KJ's.
RIVER:
Completely lost in this hand to be honest. Its hard to find hands that he would fold to jam so decided to check.

Pls share your thoughts.

3 Comments

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fantastadonk 6 years ago

Flop I feel is mainly a x/back but unsure. Turn should mostly be a x/back, if bet I'd go on the small side. River is tough, I'm not sure we have to many value hands that want to bet big here, villain may not have too many hands that want to call however.

Turn bet is most problematic; when we bet big we give away value to the value portion of villain's range while we could simply realize our equity by checking back. Also if villain x/jam some his value range, that's a terrible outcome for our hand.

akissv7 6 years ago

His stats indicate someone between a tight-passive and tight-aggressive play style in my opinion.
That is a very wet board and as villain can still be pretty wide would make a bet prob closer to 1/3 pot as I just want to fold out hands that missed this flop lots of hands will have hit so hes likely to continue.
Due to stack sizes I would just check turn. An over-bet on the turn is more scary if there was still a big stack behind which is not the case here so I would not over-bet this turn. Just check and realize the equity you got.
On the river would give up. There are just less missed draws in his range then semi value hands.

HawksWin 6 years ago

Flop can be bet smaller probably and I can get behind a check sometimes too. Your target here is to fold out like A6, A7, A8, 77-33 which is a good amount of combos that are completely screwed here vs a bet regardless of size The majority of the rest of his range has you in really bad shape.

Check turn seems right with this combo. Maybe barrel KcTc and JcTc (blockers are great, blockers + pair + FD are super great).

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