Nl 25- 99 hero calling
Posted by johnny118
Posted by johnny118 posted in Low Stakes
Nl 25- 99 hero calling
SB: $32.84 (Hero)
BB: $33.04
UTG: $23.90
MP: $46.67
CO: $35.41
CO lost and shows a pair of Sixes.
SB wins $34.14
Rake is $1.61
No info on Villain (2 hands on him)
I called the flop because I figured that because he called the 3bet from CO he was likely to defend wider thus having a wider range on all streets.
Given that assumption and once I called the flop, I figured calling the turn was mandatory.
I thought that if he checked the river it meant that I would lose to a K or even a T, but when he barreled for the third time on such a dry board, I felt like he was very polarized between value hands and bluffs.
he didn't have that many logical value hands that wanted 3 streets of value in his range (10-10, K-T, 55, 65, 56, 76, 86) because I think he checks back his KQ-KJ type hands OTR and when he bets half pot on the river, it seems unlikely he has a monster either.
So I called and felt good about him having A-3o (WTF) but after I was really doubting my call and reasoning.
Was I lucky or did my play make any sense ? Is that EV+ to call down light here ?
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