Hello friends,

The following hand occured at an anonymous NL 100 table. I flat pre cause I am not too sure about getting it in here being profitable. Given that this is an anonymous table and that we hadn't had any dynamics going on, I believe that he shouldn't be all too light here. His 3 bet sizing kinda suggest that he's recreational (8.3 BBs doesn't strike me as a standard sizing) so I'm not too worried about taking the hand to the flop instead of getting it in pre. I c/c flop which I believe to be an ok play with my hand (SD value + I get board coverage on A and K runouts which should make it more difficult for him to barrel those cards against my PPs). Turn is a card that helps my range more than his and river is the same. Now I wonder whether I should use an overbet on the river. The runout obviously helps my range much more than his; I have a ton of FHs here which he shouldn't really have (88, 99, TT, JJ. He might have 89s and JJ though). He might have KQ here as well, but not too sure about that. Ultimately, I feel like I want to overbet this river for value a lot, so I feel like I should have an overbet bluffing range here as well. I suppose that I will fold out AK, KK, AA with a normal sizing (AA and KK will most likely be 2 street value hands here, so he will have 1 check in this hand somewhere, perhaps the turn) and overbetting only has the benefit of folding out hands like QQ, AQ, which might feel like I'm trying to milk them with a FH, which I will indeed be. Is that too optimistic? I think if the overbet doesn't achieve something that a normal bet wouldn't, it's not really helpful, but as part of a balanced strategy it seems to make sense.

https://www.weaktight.com/h/54e77150a52511c3498d1298