Nit does something weird can i jam please?
Posted by Ducky7
Posted by
Ducky7
posted in
Low Stakes
Nit does something weird can i jam please?
BB: $50.70
CO: $52.54
BN: $50
SB: $105.68 (Hero)
CO: $52.54
BN: $50
SB: $105.68 (Hero)
CO laggy rag folds to 3b's a decent amount
Nit is a 19/15 3b 5% over 260 hands
Nit is a 19/15 3b 5% over 260 hands
Preflop
($0.75)
(4 Players)
Hero was dealt
5
6
CO raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $6.15, BB folds, CO folds, BN calls $4.65
CO raises to $1.50, BN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $6.15, BB folds, CO folds, BN calls $4.65
Flop
($14.55)
J
3
4
(2 Players)
Hero bets $7.50,
BN raises to $17
Now when he raises here i find it pretty hard to believe he has any sort of real made hand -
I think its extremely unlikely that he call called QQ-AA nearing impossible infact as if he had initially i would expect him to 4b after my sqz.
And i dont think he would raise Jx for value here as I am still relatively unknown to him and i dont think he can assume i will GII w/ worse
So does shoving here make much since - when called i still have good equity and i do expect to have fold equity alot when he raises this small and i believe is trying to take the pot as he thinks i missed a super dry board
(he has $27 behind after his raise)
I think its extremely unlikely that he call called QQ-AA nearing impossible infact as if he had initially i would expect him to 4b after my sqz.
And i dont think he would raise Jx for value here as I am still relatively unknown to him and i dont think he can assume i will GII w/ worse
So does shoving here make much since - when called i still have good equity and i do expect to have fold equity alot when he raises this small and i believe is trying to take the pot as he thinks i missed a super dry board
(he has $27 behind after his raise)
Loading 5 Comments...
The Squeeze seems abysmal to me for the lack of blockers but I think it would be interesting to hear opinions or logic for validity on that. As played, 3bet/shoving or flatting the raise is fine. I think I like the shove better though because I believe you still rep strong(FE) and you have 8 clear outs plus 25 to 1 BSFD, runner runner 5 + 6 for trips or two pairs as outs so if you count all those outs it becomes like 10 outs.
I think 3b'ing a hand like this when called plays pretty well post flop and can flop decent equity against a tonne of stuff, also we have monsters on boards where people expect us to hate and dont have that many tough decisions post - only do i barrel or not lol :)
i think we cant flat here he only would have a little more than a half pot bet on the turn and if we miss we would have 2 fold. Jamming looks good with all the money in the pot and given our pre flop rep we can take down the pot sometimes. Even if we are called we have 32% equety against any nonset hand. if u got a read on him that e setmines and min raises this is a clear fold but with out a read this seems 2 me like a jam. Jam>fold>call
IDK...saying a hand like this plays well post flop means your basically 3b'ing such a wide range that would include almost every SC. I know your outs are usually always live but unless you hit a draw you've almost got the equivalent of a bluff catcher even though your the aggressor.
Just sounds like your trying to fight aggression w/ aggression too blindly IMO.
I probably normally fold / call here dependent on BB but when PFR has a high f3b i should be 3b'ing alot of stuff and just insta winning money from him folding too much - esp. w/ the nit behind who i dont expect to continue often
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