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Nasty hand #2 'Got a nut blocker'

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Nasty hand #2 'Got a nut blocker'

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (6 Players) BB: catty111: $24.19 (Hero)
UTG: johniewlkr: $25.68
MP: MinerBoy23: $20.00
CO: Samesooone: $8.13
BN: vladimirdier: $9.20
SB: pokernaut222: $22.44
Preflop ($0.30) catty111 is BB with K A
johniewlkr folds, MinerBoy23 raises to $0.60, 3 folds, catty111 calls $0.40
Flop ($1.30) Q 6 6
catty111 checks, MinerBoy23 bets $0.91, catty111 calls $0.91
Turn ($3.12) Q 6 6 5
catty111 checks, MinerBoy23 bets $2.49, catty111 raises to $6.98, MinerBoy23 calls $4.49
River ($17.08) Q 6 6 5 2
catty111 bets $15.20

Villain is a reg, so I'd expect his range to be... 55,AQo,AQs,76s,65s,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d,KdQh,KdQc,KdQs,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d,9d8d,8d7d when he calls OTT. For river bluff to be profitable, I need him to fold ~47% of those hands.

And even if he is folding all AA-KQ, he will still have 19 combos to call me down 55,76s,65s,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d,9d8d,8d7d.

Looks like a bad bluff. Main reason - tight preflop range I believe...

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