My red line is great but then I lose lots of huge pots at showdown.
Posted by SpankoPita22
Posted by
SpankoPita22
posted in
Low Stakes
My red line is great but then I lose lots of huge pots at showdown.
Hi guys, when I play I tend to get a lot of preshowdown winnings but often times lose them all in one huge pot. I size my bets appropriately to deny equity to draws yet often still get called only to become an implied odds ATM for villains. It's usually stuff like my 2 pair vs their set, or my aces v.s. them getting there on the river with trips or a straight that I wouldn't have expected. This is mostly at NL2.
Any tips for mindset and how to avoid this without becoming overly exploitable by bluffs?
I just got a free month of essential and was wondering if anybody knows some relevant videos that might cover this, there's so much I have no idea where to look... I guess it boils down to top pair/set/2 pair vs. wet/coordinated boards vs. opponents who call 75%PSB with any draw.
Videos that are not too too advanced would be ideal.
Thanks :)
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Fold to a raise on the river when your hand is good but not great. Most players are passive so your better off giving respect when you get raised, especially on the river.
Thanks :). I was also wondering what combinations of hud stats can give me a hint about how often villain bluffs rivers on wet boards?
I don't think that problem can be solved with HUD/stats.
2zoom? They do not
Unless you have really decent sample size.. however, you can just observe it from your experience.. but I would not actually categorize it wet, dry.. rivers. (even if there are some exceptions...) Because it is pretty complicated from the beginning and not as important as the whole fact that it is generally underbluffed, generally speaking.
I would also recommend you to check out nick howard and his free youtube content.. his approach is mainly exploitative-oriented which may gives you the fundamental understanding of where are the population inbalances and how to exploit them.
Thanks for the pointers guys. I figured out I can use river aggression % in spots like this. Will check out the Nick Howard vids, always happy to find new content creators :).
I know a decent bit aboit how to exploit stats. I think my problem comes from not realizing many players at NL2 don't bluff often with big bets, and also the fact that it's a new site so my sample sizes are quite small, and also the mix of people who play ABC and balanced regs who bluff throws me off as I never know which I'm up against.
Yes, there isn't much else than overall fold and aggression stats you can use in practice. I like the overall bet frequency stat more than aggression frequency because aggression frequency gets skewed a lot by raise opportunities. There are clear correlations between betting frequency and bluffing, but some people bet too often with good hands and fold a ton after they check. These players don't overbluff but still have high aggression, so you want to take a look at how often they fold too. The players that bluff the most are the ones that have low fold and high aggression frequencies. You know they must have strong hands in check and weak hands in betting range to get that combination, or alternatively they need to hero call a lot. The players that are hero calling do generally bluff a lot too (fighting hard for pots?, not wanting to give up on pots/lose?).
Thank so much for the great advice :)
People aren't exploiting you and the sooner you accept that the harder you can start exploiting them. The majority of people run general population exploits and occasionally start adjusting to individuals if they make massive obvious errors but only the strongest regs at my stakes (100nl) adjust ranges to small deviations from a GTO strategy so at 2nl there's 0% chance of it happening.
So with that in mind when you are thinking of calling someone down the question "does folding this make me exploitable?" shouldn't be part of your decision process. Instead the only thing that should concern you is pot odds, or more specifically are they over or under bluffing here? If someone underbluffs by even half a combo and you look at a solver response it just folds every single bluff catcher and if they do the opposite and over bluff slightly it calls every pair. Essentially what I'm trying to point out is that equilibriums are very fragile and the precision required by villain in order for it to be necessary that you be balanced in your response is probably something you'll only ever see if you make it to nosebleeds with linus and co.
If you want to call down better don't study how to call properly, study how to bluff properly and understand when someone isn't so you can print against the mistakes that they're making.
Thanks for explaining, this is some really eye opening info :)
I am assume that you have very small sample as well so don't over evaluate your HUD it can hurt you a lot. try to learn the population tendency and play accordingly.
Good call, thanks :) 18k is pretty small I agree
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