most likely too optimistic

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

most likely too optimistic

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $51.86
SB: $10.00 (Hero)
BB: $10.66
UTG: $14.02
MP: $12.98
CO: $7.63
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with K K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.20, CO folds, BN calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1.00, BB folds, MP calls $0.80, BN calls $0.80
MP seems like a fish 45/18 11h; BN's unknown
Flop ($3.10) 8 9 7
Hero checks, MP bets $2.00, BN calls $2.00, Hero raises to $9.00 and is all in
I'm thinking this is a bad board to cbet since it hits hard on their calling range, once the fish bets and BN calls I contradict myself, close my eyes shove, and hope for the best. I'm thinking fish may definitely call with worst and BN should have probably raised something stronger, although he also may prefer not to considering spr... So definitiley high variance move but I'm not sure if it's over optimistic or it can be done :)

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