Mo flushes, mo problems
Posted by Tom Willetts
Posted by
Tom Willetts
posted in
Low Stakes
Mo flushes, mo problems
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $23.09
SB: $27.80
BB: $10.27 (Hero)
UTG: $0.38
MP: $15.80
CO: $7.44
SB: $27.80
BB: $10.27 (Hero)
UTG: $0.38
MP: $15.80
CO: $7.44
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is BB with
4
A
, , , ,
Flop
($1.75)
7
J
7
,
Turn
($3.75)
7
J
7
8
,
River
($8.05)
7
J
7
8
J
Villain is completely unknown.
Can't see too much 7x in villain's range, probably 67s, 78s, maybe 97s and A7s. Could also have 88 and AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs. Maybe AJo and KJo too, not really sure. So he can have plenty of better hands that likely play the same way. But he could also have 99- AA and I doubt he folds them to a shove. I think this is either shove or x/f depending on just how many Jx hands he flats pre.
Second annoying spot with a flush for the day :)
Loading 7 Comments...
First: you should just call A4s pre BB vs MP. You really aren't doing it for value, because there aren't that many hands that you are way ahead. In the best case scenerio you are like 65% favorite, and because you are OOP you will realise less equity. There is an argument, that you will have a range advantage, but still I would prefer the call. Especially versus 2bb open.
As played
I think flop and turn plays are fine. You might make an argument for betting turn little bit bigger, since 8 will improve villain's range quite a bit, but still, it's not bad.
On the river, I'm torn between c/c and c/f here. He might be value betting some Kx and Qx flushes here, thinking that you have over pair or something. But on the other hand villain has a lot of boats here. I think you should type into the equilab what do you think he has once he bets after you check, and then see what equity do you have.
pre is bluff IMO which is good one.
I rly doubt if overpair calls here. So I x/f
Pre prefer flat
Flop/turn fine, though you can size up turn oop imo
River pry check whole range
Hard to know because if it's first hand against him, even if the open sizing tend towards a recretional player. That seems really surreal to gave him such a wide range without reads.
All these hand are folding the river without a doubt.
XF to me. Most of villains (regs or fish) will be happy to XB their Khi and Qhi flush when seeing two pairs on the board.
If we assume he's a fish, I think there is too many Jx to consider anything else than XF.
Interesting hand. I would also call pre btw. On the river I would bet-fold something like between 1/3 - 1/2 of the pot. We can still get some value from QQ, from lower flush and from 9Ts. But it is really thin though. But I am not sure how thin this is. Maybe going for check-call somewhat small bet and check-fold against higher sizing is better.
With an effective stack of 3/4 pot. I'm not that confident with BF (even $2.5 which will give us sneaky odds when facing a shove)
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