Missed river value?
Posted by Jonisaverage
Posted by Jonisaverage posted in Low Stakes
Missed river value?
SB: $12.85
BB: $10.47
UTG: $10.20
MP: $30.20 (Hero)
CO: $52.11
MP wins $10.95
Rake is $0.52
So at the time, I hated the board pairing on the river as we were pretty deep and I didn't want to either bet-call or bet-fold. In reviewing after, I think I could have gone for thin value here as on reflection it's pretty hard for him to have a boat, but not impossible. We have no history together and I had no sample size for stats, but 3 betting QJ is possible and QQ and JJ, maybe occasionally 88. Not sure jacks would Cbet that board though and QJ might well re-raise turn?
Also my range gets hit pretty hard on this board so I think a bluff re-raise on the river is even less likely, so I could bet the straight for value and be prepared to fold or call a raise depending on sizing? Of course villain could bluff missed clubs, particularly AK of clubs or any AK that called turn when picked up equity, but I still think it's a hard spot to bluff re-raise.
Interested in what people think?
Loading 13 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.