Middle set in 3bet pot
Posted by vovochka
Posted by
vovochka
posted in
Mid Stakes
Middle set in 3bet pot
UTG: $308.90
HJ: $184.37
CO: $420.30
BN: $200
SB: $252.58 (Hero)
BB: $179
HJ: $184.37
CO: $420.30
BN: $200
SB: $252.58 (Hero)
BB: $179
SB is a fish 41/5 but was pretty aggro postflop
craise flop 12 turn 16%
but seems to play his draws quite passively
craise flop 12 turn 16%
but seems to play his draws quite passively
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
Q
UTG folds, HJ raises to $6, CO calls $6, BN folds, Hero raises to $23, BB folds, HJ folds, CO calls $18
UTG folds, HJ raises to $6, CO calls $6, BN folds, Hero raises to $23, BB folds, HJ folds, CO calls $18
Flop
($56.00)
A
4
Q
(2 Players)
Hero bets $28,
CO calls $28
Turn
($112.00)
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $56,
CO raises to $112
I think this question is really mathematical
What option is the most profitable
1. Ship the turn: he is not folding any better hand ofc. and we are risking 145 to win 513 (27%) vs flush we have like 23% but he can obv has some worse hands (2 pairs, TP+fdraw, set) so against his range we are ok
2. Call turn, call river. Really have no idea what is his bluffing % here
3. Call turn, fold river if not improved. This option i dont like at all because on river we have to be right like 17%
What option do you choose?
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