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Merged flop raising question

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Merged flop raising question

Villain (BU) raise 2.5 BB ??
Hero (BB) call ??
Flop Jc7s3h
V uses a merged strategy and bets 1.7BB
Why is it that we don’t re-raise with 9c9d for protection, but we do with Ad7h? What makes the latter a higher EV play but not the former?
(This question comes from episode 10 of from the ground up course)

3 Comments

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Brokenstars 8 months ago

Hand strength of 99 is ~ of A7 on J73r

A7 has more equity vs JX hands/made hands compared to 99; improves to two pair on A (3 outs), and trips on 7 (2 outs)

99 only improves when a 9 turn comes (2 outs) and this would also have a bit of reverse implied odds as when 9 comes it would bring connectivity to the turn and also complete T8s straight

A7 blocks marginally more value (blocks AJ, AA, and 77)

A7 also benefits marginally more from protection/equity denial compared to 99

purplepepper8 8 months ago

Thank you for your response. Can you please elaborate on your last sentence? why is a raise not protecting 99 but does protect A7? Doesn’t raising for protection mean we don’t want the opponent to hit their outs, and therefore apply to 99 as well?

Brokenstars 8 months ago

It does, but there are more cards in the IP range that have equity against A7 compared to 99. (Every 8x and 9x hand).

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