Marginal pair in 3 bet pot. 100nl
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Low Stakes
Marginal pair in 3 bet pot. 100nl
BB: $98.83 (98.8 bb)
MP: $96.50 (96.5 bb)
CO: $112.83 (112.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $98.50 (98.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7h 8h
2 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB raises to $8, Hero calls $6
Flop: ($16.50) 9h 8c 3c (2 players)
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8
Turn: ($32.50) Kd (2 players)
BB bets $20, Hero calls $20
River: ($72.50) 9c (2 players)
BB bets $30, Hero all in?
Villains a 23/17 type reg who isnt the most positionally aware. 3 betting 18-20% in given positions. Preflop is marginal but ok I think. We have 37% (need 35%) vs that range and this hand holds its equity nicely.
Postflop he c bets pretty aggressively. 75% overall and maybe a bit more in 3 bet pots. This is a bad board for him though so maybe he tones it down. His turn bet is 64% overall but this is a gin card for him to bluff as well as pick up a lot of value hands. This is def where it gets tricky. I m inclined to fold despite this hand being probably high enough in our distribution that we should be calling. Havent run all the numbers yet though to get a better estimation of this. Something that is interesting is if he s betting his whole preflop range here he has 52%. Perhaps this shows how good this card is for him.
OTR seems like a thin value bet so I m tempted to jam. Really amazing price on the bluff but he s getting an amazing price on the call as well.
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