Live $5/$10 NL: Bet River for Value?
Posted by DegreesOfFreedom
Posted by
DegreesOfFreedom
posted in
High Stakes
Live $5/$10 NL: Bet River for Value?
$2300 eff. My image TAG (nittyish), young grinder. V young grinder, most competent LAG I've seen - spews too much for my liking but I guess that goes along with LAG style. Played multiple times before, know each other's game pretty well. He sees me as tight.
I open button to $40 with AsTd, only V calls in BB.
Flop: JhTs2c Pot ~ $90 Check-check
Turn: 2d Pot ~ $90 V bets $60, I call having a solid read that he'd do this given his aggressiveness even with total air often.
River: 2s Pot ~ $210 He checks.
Bet for value? If so, how much? Feedback on all streets much appreciated.
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Flop can go either way, against an aggressive opponent capable of x/ring wider, I prefer a check back. Turn - nothing to say. River I would just check back, he probably doesnt have you beat, but he doesnt have that many hands that can call herocall since your hand consists of many weak j and tens, so you can rarely bluff here. If he is likely to call here I´d bet max 60% of the pot.
Your almost always winning here, problem is that 90-95% of his hands are failed draws I'd say such as KQ, 89, 87, 8T, Q9, Q8, etc.
I'd either check back or if he's really capable of bluffing I might bet/call some around 25-33% of the pot to induce a raise with those hands.
Mozzie!
Like everyone has said, check back expecting to win.
that depends how much of a calling station he is and how thin he would bet for value ( as in, is he EVER checking a jack here?)
If he's a bad station, you should be value betting for sure.
Really easy river bet he's always betting jx + here otr
And id be betting pretty big
I think you can bet river for value, probably $100-$130.
I checked back. Pretty sure I missed a bet as he's 3bing pre anything that beats us: JJ+. He had 88. Pretty sure he'd call with a bunch of lower PPs not just 88 and even A-high sometimes. Also, a CR from him would make no sense whatsoever and we can safely call it off.
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