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Linecheck River

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Linecheck River

UTG2: $204.71
LJ: $244.64
HJ: $206.26 (Hero)
CO: $200
BN: $270.84
SB: $202
BB: $200
UTG: $210.16
UTG1: $203.21
CO is unknown
Preflop ($3.00) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt T T
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, UTG2 folds, LJ folds, Hero raises to $4.50, CO raises to $12, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls $7.50
Imo standard defend vs 3bet
Flop ($27.00) 8 2 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $13, Hero calls $13
Turn ($53.00) 8 2 8 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks
River ($53.00) 8 2 8 7 9 (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $22
my question is about River-Balancing:
1) do i need some Full Houses in the X/Raising Range in this spot (to protect my checking-range), or should i just bet all of my strongest hands OTR ?
And if so, what can be good bluffs in the x/Raising Range on the River ?

2) should i bet myself the TT instead of checking ?

5 Comments

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Memo999 10 years, 7 months ago

I think you should be betting TT yourself since you got some quite a few bd fl draws bluffs you want to balance.

As played, I believe you are in the top of your checking range, so now click the call button.

sweet16 10 years, 7 months ago

Wether we bet or call river is kinda player dependent imo. But generally betting is much better imo because he's going to have like AK/AQ-type of hands so often which will just try to showdown. Either way I feel good getting 2 bets in post on this board wether it's villain or we who make the bets.

bdon22 10 years, 7 months ago

I don't think TT is the top of our range here. 

I think this board favours our range more than villain's. On top of JJ-QQ, we will also have 77-99 and sometimes 87s/98s depending on if we defend these SC's (not sure how profitable that is in FR).

I would consider making a reasonably sized CR on this river. We also block JTs which works in our favour. HJ is very unlikely to 3-bet a mid PP here and never has 8x once he checks back turn.

PokerFace 10 years, 7 months ago

@bdon

I had same thought ingame, but i think i have here some 55-66 in this spot (small 3Bet pre), which have a lot less SD-Value and maybe are better to X/bluff. And the second problem about this is, that the most full houses or straights you would bet straight forward on River by yourself. So lets say in 80-90% of all cases.  So i hold a maximum of 0,2 * 7  = 1,4 Valuecombos (Full Houses or 4of a kind) which i X/Raise on River. So i dont need more than one bluff-combo and i think to take one TT- combo, which definetly has much SD-Value in X/Call or Bet River, is the wrong combo.


What do you think about this thought ?

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