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Lets go crazy, double x/r to exploit certain player profile

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Lets go crazy, double x/r to exploit certain player profile

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (9 Players) MP: $34.97
MP+1: $50.92
MP+2: $50.00
CO: $50.00
BN: $55.43
SB: $53.06
BB: $50.00 (Hero)
UTG: $34.48
UTG+1: $50.00
15/11 over 3.7k
WTSD 26, WSD 53
Cb OOP 57
CO steal 29
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BB with T 9
5 folds, CO raises to $1.25, BN folds, SB calls $1.00, Hero calls $0.75
closee.. just called due to the number of hands I have on V (its much easier for me to outplay someone if I do have a lot of HUD stats on him + the fact that SB is a rec player 43/7)
Flop ($3.75) 2 5 J
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $1.85, SB folds, Hero raises to $5.48, CO calls $3.63
Feel like villain might cbetting pretty aggressively on this texture and my hand has a potential to pick up some equity on many turns.
Turn ($14.71) 2 5 J 9
Hero checks, CO bets $4.19, Hero raises to $17.50
Just trying to exploit his low WTSD.. given his sizing, I expect a lot of Jx and QQ-AA which I wanna target. Blocking 99 and some QcTc,KcTc,AcTc.. However, I would prefer the turn without a flush draw, since my story of having a set would be much more coherent though..

Do you think that such a guy with that low WTSD is capable of folding a Jx and QQ-AA on the turn?

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