Lets Balance Ranges! 953dd after defending raise BB vs CO.
Posted by znzznz
Posted by znzznz posted in Mid Stakes
Lets Balance Ranges! 953dd after defending raise BB vs CO.
Hand is a made up hand. Villain opens 30% from the CO to 2.5x, we defend with a range of roughly 25% (shown in picture below). With an R of 60, we should be defending at least 20%. The range shown takes away hands we 3bet (QQ+, AK, half of AQs, most JJ, half of TT). Villain is a solid reg with no other reads. The flop comes up 9d5c2c. He cbets 70% pot.
I colored in Photoshop how we proceed with our range, blue is check/call, red is check/raise, and black is check/fold:
Check/call:
All AQs-A9s, A5s-A2s; A8s-A6s of diamonds and clubs only
A9o+, A8o with a club
KQs-KTs of diamonds and clubs, K8 of clubs
KQo-KTo with a club, K9o
QJs, QTs, Q8s of clubs, Q9s
JT of diamonds and clubs, J8, J7 of clubs
T8s, T7s of clubs, T9s
98s, 97s
87s of clubs
76 of clubs
Check/raise:
J8, J7, T7, T8, 87, 76 of diamonds
55, 33
Some key stats that I came up with:
Check/Call Flop - 57%
Check/Call Strength on the turn - 36% (Made up of at least a 9, strong draws, and floats that hit)
Check/Raise Flop - 4.5% (13/295)
Check/Raise Flop Value - 46%
Check/Fold Flop - 38%
Note:- Calling with the KQ-KT combos is when we have a backdoor flushdraw. Same with A8o. Actually most check/calls that make sense only with the BDFD is only counting the BDFD (like A6s/A6dd as well).
Questions:
1) We are check/calling way more than raising. How does this ratio look?
2) Our check/call strength seems to be low. The 36% number is hands we would have a very high chance of calling the next street, so unless we float a lot more, we will be folding over 60% to the next barrel.
3) Our optimal bluff frequency is over 40%, and in this situation we are over 50%. Is this too high? We also have some equity with our bluffs.
4) How would you change this range?
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