A few notes going in: This hand was played on Bovada so there isn't any back history other than at this table. Or at least, none that I am aware of and neither would he be so it shouldn't be in play. I'm not sure if there are many Bovada players on here, so the variables may be a little odd to communicate if you're not used to anonymous tables.

At this point, I've been at the table for a little over half an hour and have played 9 hands. The player who is UTG has joined me on 7 of those. He's not playing every hand with anyone else so either he happens to be picking up hands when I do or he's looking to play pots with me.

He stacked me twice earlier in this session. In the first, I got it in on the turn with top set vs. his overpair and he hit on the river. In the second, I got it in on the flop with a straight vs. middle pair and he runner runner'd a flush. So he could be one of those players who "plays the rush" and wants to play as many pots as possible against someone he's running super good against. Or he could think I'm a poor player and be looking to play against me though so far I've only shown down strong hands in the two cases of showdown (both against him). Or, like I said, he could just be happening to pick up hands when I do. Hard to be certain with a small sample size like this.

Other relevant info: The table so far has shown a good amount of light early position raises and the tendency to call 3bets OOP light, so I've 3bet a number of times already, once in a squeeze spot and once vs. HJ standard open raise. Both times with hands, but it still shows a pretty good size 3bet stat from me and always in position across this small sample size. Also, I've cbet almost every time (again, only 9 total played hands) that I've been the pfr in a hand.

Seems pretty standard so far. My nemesis comes along from UTG. This early, I'm not sure what to make of his coming with me on nearly every hand I play, but I also don't think he's super light so suited Aces (he likes his flush draws), most pairs, and probably some suited broadway combinations are in his range. I don't expect him to be flatting a 3bet OOP on HJ with something like 67s, but I suppose you never know. I haven't seen him play any non-broadway SCs so far.

HJ has a similar range, though I don't think he plays his big aces this way (I saw him flat/4bet AQ earlier in the session) and I think he'd be dropping his smaller suited Aces, though he has shown he likes to flat and set-mine with a pair so I think any pair is in his reach, as well as A9s-AJ, and perhaps a few KQ type hands. He hasn't shown down any non-Ace broadway cards so far, but it's too small a sample to be narrowing those out, I think.

Pretty standard cbet with TPTK. I think I can get action from smaller aces, some 'tween pairs (TT-KK), perhaps a flush draw from UTG. It's possible either player could have a nine but the only 9 I expect out of HJ is A9s and that's a pretty small part of his range. UTG seems to go more for suited Aces and suited broadways rather than middle SC, though I won't narrow out hands like 97 or 98 entirely. I would expect either of these players to raise with a 9 here since I'm so likely to have an Ace and give them at least one more bet, even knowing I cbet a lot.

As it turns out, UTG flats and HJ is done with it (small pair probably). The timing on UTG's call makes me think I'm either dealing with another A or a flush draw. His flat was pretty fast, and I think he'd have put a little more thought into it with something like JJ just because there's an Ace out and my 3bet/cbet line looks like an Ace in this spot. He might have still called since I've been cbetting pretty often, but I think he'd have taken a moment to think about it.

I can't think of a card I'd rather see less than this one because AQ is a good chunk of his range, but it seems like my options are limited. If I check here, I think given the SPR, he shoves almost everything, but even if he doesn't, given his love of the flush draws, I don't think I can risk giving him a free card to chase it. Besides, with the exception of a non-spade total brick river, I'm in no better spot that I am now. At this point, it seems like I'm either well ahead vs. his other ace, playing a possible split if he happens to have AK, or trying to stay ahead of his flush draw.

If he is playing a 'tween pair like TT and I bet here and I was wrong about his flop call-timing, I probably lose him, but I don't think I'm getting another bet out of him anyway at this point.

It's still possible I'm dealing with 9x in this spot, but I'm not sure given SPR that I'm going to be able to get away from the hand anyway seeing as it makes up such a small part of his range, most of which I'm well ahead of. The only hands I have to worry about are hands like AQ or 9x, but given my read that he's likely to shove if I check anyway, I can't see myself folding to his range. So it makes more sense to bet out, I think, especially since he's apt to call with both the flush draws and smaller aces but may check behind with those some percentage of time. Basically, if I check and he shoves, I'm calling and don't see the point in risking him checking behind a draw.

If I'm betting, given where things stand in terms of stack size, a shove seems like the only move.