KQo CO vs BU NL 10

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

KQo CO vs BU NL 10

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (4 Players) CO: $11.05 (Hero)
BN: $10.15
SB: $19.50
BB: $27.77
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is CO with Q K
Hero raises to $0.30, BN calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds
Flop ($1.00) 4 Q 3
SB bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, BN calls $1.20, SB folds
Turn ($3.80) 4 Q 3 7
Hero bets $2.30, BN raises to $8.65 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot BN wins $7.98
Rake is $0.42

my question is simple here.How often does this guy have a KQ/QJ/QT and he will pay(so i can have a value bet here)
is it possible to have some flush draws here?(no combo draws)
are the only hands wich play this way are 44/33 and flush draws + some gutshots? like A2s/A5s which id on't belive he would 3 bet.
i don't think this guy is having 65 without flush draw here.

vpip/pfr/3bet/foldto3bet
29/19/4.6/32
fold to cbet (F/T):57/32
WTSD 31/W$SD 49/AGGf 1.9/AGGF% 31/Hands 2.1k

10 Comments

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klamsauce 9 years, 8 months ago

Seems like a reasonable fold to me. I don't really expect him to shove flush draws here in position after we have shown this much strength.

The situation changes a lot if the spot is hu and he just calls a cb ip then raises turn, in which case I would never fold.

ausuk 9 years, 8 months ago

Seems wp to me. He has all the nut hands in his range, and given low aggression pre and postflop I don't think he's doing it with draws often enough to justify a call.

Played perfect imo

Lljag 9 years, 8 months ago

I think we need more information on how he plays his FDs before we consider folding. I don’t think he has a better Q or DP here. There are 4 combos of 65s, 3 combos of 44 and 3 combos so only 10 value hands. He can also have Q9hh, QThh, QJhh and maybe some stuffs like A3hh (depending on how loose he is).

klamsauce 9 years, 8 months ago

I think the opposite is true. I feel like we'd need more information before we considered calling. Hes in position he shouldnt be shoving any of his draws into a very strong range.

klamsauce 9 years, 8 months ago

Something stronger than one pair. I don't think we need to have any reasonable defending freq here when villain doesn't have a bluffing freq.

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