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KQ line vs aggro tricky player hu

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KQ line vs aggro tricky player hu

Villian is a super aggro tricky reg playing me on 2 tables. He played 68% of hands from the big blind with a 12% 3bet though at this point of the match I'd estimate he was 3betting between 20 and 25. His check/raise was 20%. He folded to 38% of cbets. He was a very aggro player who overbet a lot and sometimes took wierd lines. He seemed to be very capable of a lot of plays, but seemed like a good hand reader (though I hadn't played enough to know this for sure). He had seen me make some herocalls but for the most part he was running me over as I had the bottom of my range a lot thus far in the match. I was raising 100% of buttons and only cbetting 50%. I welcome discussion of any street.

Merge, $3/$6 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $612 (102 bb)
BB: $830.50 (138.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Qh Ks
Hero raises to $12, BB calls $6

Flop: ($24) 9h 6h 7s (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($24) Qd (2 players)
BB bets $18, Hero calls $18

River: ($60) Kc (2 players)
BB bets $45, Hero raises to $147, BB raises to $800.50 and is all-in,

3 Comments

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troppa 12 years, 2 months ago
just fold, terrible spot for him to be bluffing when your range for raising river is a ton of JT, KQ and bluffs. Your line looks fine!
2blave 12 years, 2 months ago
I think that the line you took is almost always for value, and villain will know this. Even players that like to run people over don't usually try a b/3b bluff line when their opponent takes a line that is both strong and showdown bound. A pessimistic but realistic take on your equity:

Board: Kc Qd 9h 6h 7s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 81.250% 81.25% 00.00% 26 0.00 { 77-66, K9s, JTs, T8s, K9o, JTo }
Hand 1: 18.750% 18.75% 00.00% 6 0.00 { KsQh }

So you would need to see 9 bluff combos (or worse value hands such as Q9) to make this a breakeven call. Obviously our opponent has the potential to have many more bluff hands than this, but it's a question of whether he will pull the trigger. My experience says no. Another mark against a potential bluff is that villain can expect you to have all JT in your range when you take this line.
rjlynch 12 years, 2 months ago
I think you can fold this but it depends how often you get here with JT adn how slim you raise for value. If you get here with 15 JT combos and raise the river with KQ K9 and a couple of other 2 pair or air combos I think raise folding here is fine

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