KK sick turn... 10NL
Posted by Alex Geiger
Posted by
Alex Geiger
posted in
Low Stakes
KK sick turn... 10NL
BN: $10 (Hero)
SB: $24.85
BB: $2.04
UTG: $11.61
HJ: $8.95
CO: $2.41
SB: $24.85
BB: $2.04
UTG: $11.61
HJ: $8.95
CO: $2.41
BB: 85/0 (13 hands)
HJ: 31/15 (13 hands)
HJ: 31/15 (13 hands)
Preflop
($0.15)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
K
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.30, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.90, SB folds, BB calls $0.80, HJ calls $0.60
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.30, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.90, SB folds, BB calls $0.80, HJ calls $0.60
Flop
($2.75)
T
7
8
(3 Players)
BB checks,
HJ checks,
Hero bets $1.80,
BB calls $1.14,
HJ calls $1.80
Subsequently I think I should bet between $2 and $2.2 and broke here, or jam on most of the turn cards.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
53,460 games 0.002 secs 26,730,000 games/sec
Board: 7h 8h Td
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.395% 59.68% 00.71% 31907 380.00 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 39.605% 38.89% 00.71% 20793 380.00 { QQ-88, AhJh, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs, Q9o }
Please check this range I gave him.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
53,460 games 0.002 secs 26,730,000 games/sec
Board: 7h 8h Td
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.395% 59.68% 00.71% 31907 380.00 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 39.605% 38.89% 00.71% 20793 380.00 { QQ-88, AhJh, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs, Q9o }
Please check this range I gave him.
Turn
($7.49)
T
(3 Players)
HJ checks,
Hero bets $3.65,
HJ raises to $6.25,
Hero calls $2.60
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
2,156 games 0.000 secs 431,200 games/sec
Board: 7h 8h Td Tc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 67.904% 67.90% 00.00% 1464 0.00 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 32.096% 32.10% 00.00% 692 0.00 { QQ-88, AhJh, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs, Q9o }
According to this calculation the only option is to move all-in.
If I check back: bad cards for me are 6 and 9. He probably won't bluff just because BB is all-in and there aren't any side pot.
All in all, I can earn the most value if I try to put the money in OTT.
2,156 games 0.000 secs 431,200 games/sec
Board: 7h 8h Td Tc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 67.904% 67.90% 00.00% 1464 0.00 { KcKs }
Hand 1: 32.096% 32.10% 00.00% 692 0.00 { QQ-88, AhJh, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs, Q9o }
According to this calculation the only option is to move all-in.
If I check back: bad cards for me are 6 and 9. He probably won't bluff just because BB is all-in and there aren't any side pot.
All in all, I can earn the most value if I try to put the money in OTT.
River
($19.99)
4
(3 Players)
Loading 5 Comments...
I disagree with the range you give to HJ, it's look like you put a lot of bad hands that you beat and forgot a lot of good hands that beat you in villain range.
For example you forgot all the KTo/KTs combo but you add all Q9s/Q9o combo. I mean if you think he has Q9o in his range then he must have KTo/KTs.
So the hands I disagree on the flop are: QQ (4bet try to either iso vs fish or go broke vs you and fish), Q9o (it's probably even not in his raising range from HJ).
Debatable hands: QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JTs, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs. It's depend of him (we don't have much info unfortunatelyNow some hands you forgot that he can have QhKh,KhJh,KTs,ATs.
Well that said vs this { JJ-77, AhQh, AhJh, ATs, KhQh, KhJh, KTs, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JhTh, T9s, QhJc, QhJd, QhJs } your equity is down to 52%. Still a bet(big)/call.
BTW it's not really the range I would give him. I would give a tighter range for calling the 3bet but like I said it's difficult to say so I just update your range leaving some hands I'm almost sure he cannot have and adding hands he can have (because you put worst hands)
Now turn it's push or check. You accomplish nothing betting 3.6 with less than a PSB left.
I also disagree with villain turn range after he push since he don't have any equity he should never push QJo,Q9o ... and at least set should push for value flop.
I still would push hoping he call 99,JJ and at least his FD+GS+overcards because we are ahead of that (57.5% vs { JJ, 99, AhJh, ATs, KhJh, KTs, QhJh, QTs-Q9s, JhTh, T9s })
I agree with You, probably I gave his range precipitantly.
How about this turn range
JJ-66,AT,KT,QT,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,Ah9h,KhQh,KhJh,QhJh,QhTh,Qh9h,JhTh,Jh9h,Tx9x,9x8x,8x7x,7x6x against which we have only 45% EQ.
If he calls the shove only when we are beat and folds his OESD and FD is it still a good ideea to shove ?
How do we calculate the EV of our turn shove ?
I agree not a good turn at all, still for 1 psb left... ill just jam here, hes a fish and got a wide range.
Can for sure be calling w 8x 7x, draws even..
Bet bigger on the flop and ship the turn. He has a ton of Tx, but he also has enough weird hands to make it barely profitable.
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