KK: checkback with OP in a 3bet pot? (NL100)
Posted by jonzocker
Posted by jonzocker posted in Low Stakes
KK: checkback with OP in a 3bet pot? (NL100)
BN: Player3: 100
SB: Player5: 104.77
BB: Player6: 108.65
UTG: Player8: 100
HJ: Hero: 103
Player8 raises to 3, Hero raises to 9, Player1 folds, Player5 folds, Player6 folds, Player8 calls 6
Villain was very aggressiv over the 260 hands I have on him. He is playing 27/20 and his F2 3bet is 46%.
He x/r the flop 17% and F2 cbet overall 50% (not a big sample)
On the flop I think a 70% Ps cbet is fine.
On the turn I do not give him 44/55/77 anymore I do think he can x/c his flushes and flushdraws and ofc. his OPs:
Given that we only have around 50% vs. his hole range a bet does not make to much sense. In game I thought that I am way more ahead.My thought process was like:
I have a valuebet vs. his OPs and FD, the few 88 + flushes should not be to relevant. I decided to bet small, that he is not able to fold his OPs and FD and make him able to do a mistake with some random hands he wanted to float.
I think this is flawed:
1. His range is much stronger than I expected:
- I have 0% Equity vs his straights and flushes
- Villain has with all his FDs at least 30%
2. When I bet that small he can not do any mistakes:
- Villain needs 23% equity (without river implieds) for a call, as I said he has over 30% with every draw
- He can not have any random hands he is now pushing, because I look weak! He is not x/calling the Flop w JhTh etc ever!
Afterwards I think now, that I have an easy checkback on the turn and have to evaluate the river again.
Do you agree with me? Any other thoughts about the hand?
Thx for your help
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