KK: checkback with OP in a 3bet pot? (NL100)

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KK: checkback with OP in a 3bet pot? (NL100)

CO: Player1: 125.50
BN: Player3: 100
SB: Player5: 104.77
BB: Player6: 108.65
UTG: Player8: 100
HJ: Hero: 103
Viilain is in the MP and we are in the CO
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K K
Player8 raises to 3, Hero raises to 9, Player1 folds, Player5 folds, Player6 folds, Player8 calls 6
Flop (19.50) 5 7 4 (3 Players)
Player8 checks, Hero bets 13.65, Player8 calls 13.65
Turn (46.80) 6 (3 Players)
Player8 checks, Hero bets 20, Player8 raises to 77.35, Hero calls 57.35

Villain was very aggressiv over the 260 hands I have on him. He is playing 27/20 and his F2 3bet is 46%.

He x/r the flop 17% and F2 cbet overall 50% (not a big sample)


On the flop I think a 70% Ps cbet is fine.

On the turn I do not give him 44/55/77 anymore I do think he can x/c his flushes and flushdraws and ofc. his OPs:

Given that we only have around 50% vs. his hole range a bet does not make to much sense. In game I thought that I am way more ahead.

My thought process was like:

I have a valuebet vs. his OPs and FD, the few 88 + flushes should not be to relevant. I decided to bet small, that he is not able to fold his OPs and FD and make him able to do a mistake with some random hands he wanted to float.


I think this is flawed:

1. His range is much stronger than I expected:

 - I have 0% Equity vs his straights and flushes

 - Villain has with all his FDs at least 30% 

2. When I bet that small he can not do any mistakes:

 - Villain needs 23% equity (without river implieds) for a call, as I said he has over 30% with every draw

 - He can not have any random hands he is now pushing, because I look weak! He is not x/calling the Flop w JhTh etc ever!


Afterwards I think now, that I have an easy checkback on the turn and have to evaluate the river again. 

Do you agree with me? Any other thoughts about the hand?


Thx for your help

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