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KK C3 BUvSB

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

KK C3 BUvSB

BN: $51.60 (Hero)
SB: $86.82
BB: $53.88
UTG: $52.12
HJ: $57.60
CO: $19.04
The SB has a 100bb stack. There seems to be something wrong with the converter.

vs reg
22/18
3b @ SB: 7 | 3b vs BU 17 (I'm using pt4 now, so I don't have the exact SBvBU 3b stat)
F4: 60%

CB 1rsd 70/70/50(2) / bet R 38
3b pot 80/50(2)
Preflop ($0.70) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K K
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $3.20, BB folds, Hero calls $2.20
Given my reads, I believe there's more value in just flatting and letting him fire.
Flop ($7.10) 7 8 Q (2 Players)
SB bets $5.60, Hero calls $5.60
Turn ($18.30) 6 (2 Players)
SB bets $14, Hero raises to $42.80, and is all in, SB calls $28.80
Soooo, the reason why I've decided to shove:

-I don't have a sample on his river play, but the 'bet R 38%' might indicate that he's going to shut down otr,
-there are so many draws, that I thought it's better to get max value/protection with my hand instead of calling again and hoping that he fires for the 3rd time with those, whereas he can defenitely call a shove,
-I have plenty of draws myself, which I might play this way.

But now that I look at it, I think it was better to just call again with the intention of calling most rivers, because:

-my perceived XC range ott would include a ton of draws/pair+draw combos (89s/79s/99/J9s/K9s/KTs etc.) that are probably folding a ton otr, so it might have been better for my range to have some strong bluffcatchers otr,
-I maximize value from his weaker draws, that aren't calling a shove, but might fire otr, let alone some airballs at times,
-I leave myself a chance to get away from my hand on some cards that are just terrible for me,
-I'm IP, so I don't have to worry about losing value from his Qx combos.


Thoughts?
River ($103.90) 3 (2 Players)

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