JJ btn vs MP 4 bet
Posted by RunItTw1ce
Posted by RunItTw1ce posted in Low Stakes
JJ btn vs MP 4 bet
UTG folds
MP $2.5
co folds
Hero BTN JsJh $8
SB & BB fold
MP 4bet $25
Hero calls
*Preflop here I think vs MP I should just be folding, horrible table selection on my part as all 5 other players are regs. JJ just has poor equity vs a range of basically KK+ AKs. I think the pool mixes in some flats with AKo and QQ also being a mix, either way I'm in pretty bad shape.
Flop ($51.5) Ts9x7s
MP cbet $30
Hero ($76) JsJh all in
I feel vs this polar sizing villain almost always has KK or AA here, but I didn't want to call and have to fold my equity on the turn. This is pretty common in my pool of regs to basically wait for KK or AA and hope to get "cooler" a range of JJ+ AK. I'm never gonna see someone show up with AQs or A5s here. Lack of discipline preflop on my part.
I feel vs a smaller $17 cbet (1/3) i'll be able to call and fold turn pretty often. Against a large cbet, I just feel stuck. Happens with QQ as well with me in similar Btn vs MP 4 bet pots. Where I get a decent flop and face a large cbet. GTO wise I guess I should be stacking off, but seems like 95% of the time its KK+.
Snowie has JJ as 0.57 EV preflop. Not sure what that means in terms of profit. I think it becomes -EV when MP doesn't 4 bet bluff wheel aces like snowie does. Post flop raising the flop all in is +5.52 EV, so at least I got post flop right. I played the hand fine against a balanced opponent, just don't think my pool is balanced at all.
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